Premier League 2026/27
Leeds United vs Liverpool prediction
19:30
India time
Sat, 24 Apr 2027 · 15:00 UK
Elland Road, Leeds
Draw 20%
Fair odds for the pick 1.54
In 30 seconds
- Liverpool 65%, draw 20%, Leeds 15%: a strong lean.
- Predicted score 0-2; goals expected (3.1 xG).
- Both teams to score: 54%.
- Predicted score
- 0-2
- Wazir Win pick
- Liverpool
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Leeds vs Liverpool?
Liverpool are our pick for Leeds vs Liverpool, at 65% (strong lean). The model's likeliest result is 0-2, both teams score in 54% of simulations, and the draw sits at 20%. Kick-off is Sat, 24 Apr 2027, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Leeds's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Liverpool's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
3.1 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 60% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Liverpool
Liverpool rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 20%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Leeds vs Liverpool?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%
- Expected goals
- 0.94 – 2.15
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Leeds vs Liverpool
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 81%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Liverpool
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Leeds win beats it.
- 60%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
3.1 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 11%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Leeds 0-2 Liverpool
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Leeds United
Expect Leeds to stay compact at Elland Road and look for a moment rather than control the game.
Away
Liverpool
A side with title-level depth. Liverpool tend to suffocate opponents on their trip to Elland Road, so Leeds will need a disciplined, low block.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Liverpool name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Leeds score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Leeds vs Liverpool
Leeds United take on Liverpool in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Liverpool's way. The gap in expected goals (0.94 for Leeds, 2.15 for Liverpool) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 65% for Liverpool. Leeds's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Leeds and Liverpool
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Leeds play 7 days after their game away at Brentford on 17 Apr. After this, they go away at Ipswich 7 days after this one. League game 33 of 38.
Liverpool play 7 days after their game away at Forest on 17 Apr. After this, they go at home to Chelsea 7 days after this one. League game 33 of 38.
These sides already met at Anfield on Sat, 12 Dec 2026, making this the return fixture.
More Leeds and Liverpool dossiers
Ready when you are
Follow this match with your Wazir Win ID
18+ only. Set a budget first and play responsibly.
FAQ · 8
Leeds United vs Liverpool: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Leeds vs Liverpool?
Wazir Win predicts Liverpool. Our goals model gives Leeds 15%, the draw 20% and Liverpool 65%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Liverpool?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-2 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 0-2, at 11%.
What are fair odds for Leeds vs Liverpool?
On our numbers: Leeds 6.67, draw 5.00, Liverpool 1.54. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Leeds United vs Liverpool kick off in India?
19:30 IST India time on Sat, 24 Apr 2027 (15:00 UK), at Elland Road in Leeds. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Leeds vs Liverpool mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Leeds 15%, draw 20%, Liverpool 65%. Sabse sambhav score 0-2 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
How many goals are expected in Leeds vs Liverpool?
3.1 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 5% of the time.
What would make Leeds win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Liverpool's attack. We give Leeds 15%.
Where can I watch Leeds vs Liverpool?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.