Premier League 2026/27
Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction
19:30
India time
Sat, 01 May 2027 · 15:00 UK
Anfield, Liverpool
Draw 22%
Fair odds for the pick 1.72
In 30 seconds
- Liverpool 58%, draw 22%, Chelsea 20%: a clear lean.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 52%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Liverpool
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Liverpool vs Chelsea?
Back Liverpool. Wazir Win makes them 58% to beat Chelsea, projects 1.84 to 0.97 in expected goals and calls the score 1-0. Over 2.5 goals: 53%. Kick-off: Sat, 01 May 2027, 19:30 IST at Anfield.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Liverpool
Liverpool are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (53% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Liverpool
Liverpool rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 22%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Liverpool vs Chelsea?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 52%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53%
- Expected goals
- 1.84 – 0.97
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Liverpool vs Chelsea
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 75%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Liverpool
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Chelsea win beats it.
- 53%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
2.8 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 11%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Liverpool 1-0 Chelsea
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Liverpool
A side with title-level depth. Liverpool tend to suffocate opponents at Anfield, so Chelsea will need a disciplined, low block.
Away
Chelsea
Chelsea are built to control games. They should hold most of the ball on their trip to Anfield and pin Liverpool back for long periods.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Liverpool name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Chelsea score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Liverpool vs Chelsea
Liverpool take on Chelsea in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Liverpool's way. The gap in expected goals (1.84 for Liverpool, 0.97 for Chelsea) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 58% for Liverpool. Chelsea's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Liverpool and Chelsea
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Liverpool play 7 days after their game away at Leeds on 24 Apr. After this, they go away at Man City 7 days after this one. League game 34 of 38.
Chelsea play 7 days after their game at home to Man City on 24 Apr. After this, they go away at Spurs 7 days after this one. League game 34 of 38.
These sides already met at Stamford Bridge on Sat, 05 Dec 2026, making this the return fixture.
More Liverpool and Chelsea dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Liverpool vs Chelsea: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Liverpool vs Chelsea?
Wazir Win predicts Liverpool. Our goals model gives Liverpool 58%, the draw 22% and Chelsea 20%, which we class as a clear lean.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Chelsea?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-0, at 11%.
What are fair odds for Liverpool vs Chelsea?
On our numbers: Liverpool 1.72, draw 4.55, Chelsea 5.00. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Liverpool vs Chelsea kick off in India?
19:30 IST India time on Sat, 01 May 2027 (15:00 UK), at Anfield in Liverpool. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Liverpool vs Chelsea mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Liverpool 58%, draw 22%, Chelsea 20%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Chelsea?
We put both teams to score at 52%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 53%.
What would make Chelsea win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Liverpool's attack. We give Chelsea 20%.
Where can I watch Liverpool vs Chelsea?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.