Premier League 2026/27

Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool prediction

By Wazir Win Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated
22%Win chance
Nottingham Forest
Slight lean

19:30

India time

Sat, 17 Apr 2027 · 15:00 UK

City Ground, Nottingham

Draw 23%

Fair odds for the pick 1.82

55%Our pick
Liverpool

In 30 seconds

  1. Liverpool 55%, draw 23%, Forest 22%: a slight lean.
  2. Predicted score 0-1; goals expected (2.9 xG).
  3. Both teams to score: 55%.
Predicted score
0-1
Wazir Win pick
Liverpool
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Who wins Forest vs Liverpool?

Back Liverpool. Wazir Win makes them 55% to beat Forest, projects 1.07 to 1.81 in expected goals and calls the score 0-1. Over 2.5 goals: 55%. Kick-off: Sat, 17 Apr 2027, 19:30 IST at City Ground.

What will decide it?

Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.

  1. Home edge

    Edge: Even

    Forest's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Liverpool's quality advantage.

  2. Goal expectancy

    Edge: Goals

    2.9 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 55% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Liverpool

    Liverpool rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 23%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.

How many goals in Forest vs Liverpool?

Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.81
Half-time call
0-0

The Wazir Win bet slip for Forest vs Liverpool

Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.

  1. Banker

    risk

    71%

    Draw no bet

    Liverpool

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Forest win beats it.

  2. Smart value

    risk

    55%

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 55% of the time for us.

  3. Wildcard

    risk

    10%

    Correct score

    Forest 0-1 Liverpool

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.

How do the two teams set up?

Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Nottingham Forest

Expect Forest to stay compact at City Ground and look for a moment rather than control the game.

Away

Liverpool

A side with title-level depth. Liverpool tend to suffocate opponents on their trip to City Ground, so Forest will need a disciplined, low block.

What would change our mind?

The developments we would react to before kick-off.

  • If Liverpool name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.

  • If Forest score first

    The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.

The story of Forest vs Liverpool

Nottingham Forest take on Liverpool in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Liverpool's way. The gap in expected goals (1.07 for Forest, 1.81 for Liverpool) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 55% for Liverpool. Forest's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.

Calendar check: Forest and Liverpool

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Forest play 7 days after their game away at Leeds on 10 Apr. After this, they go at home to Sunderland 7 days after this one. League game 32 of 38.

Liverpool play 7 days after their game at home to Newcastle on 10 Apr. After this, they go away at Leeds 7 days after this one. League game 32 of 38.

These sides already met at Anfield on Sat, 29 Aug 2026, making this the return fixture.

  1. 10 AprLeeds vs ForestElland Road
  2. 10 AprLiverpool vs NewcastleAnfield
  3. 17 AprForest vs LiverpoolCity Ground
  4. 24 AprForest vs SunderlandCity Ground
  5. 24 AprLeeds vs LiverpoolElland Road
  1. 24 AprNottingham Forest vs SunderlandPremier League · 19:30 ISTOpen dossier
  2. 01 MayBrighton & Hove Albion vs Nottingham ForestPremier League · 19:30 ISTOpen dossier
  3. 24 AprLeeds United vs LiverpoolPremier League · 19:30 ISTOpen dossier
  4. 01 MayLiverpool vs ChelseaPremier League · 19:30 ISTOpen dossier
  5. 17 AprArsenal vs Aston VillaPremier League · 19:30 ISTOpen dossier
  6. 17 AprBrentford vs Leeds UnitedPremier League · 19:30 ISTOpen dossier

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FAQ · 8

Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool: your questions answered

Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.

Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team

Who is predicted to win Forest vs Liverpool?

Wazir Win predicts Liverpool. Our goals model gives Forest 22%, the draw 23% and Liverpool 55%, which we class as a slight lean.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool?

Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 11%.

What are fair odds for Forest vs Liverpool?

On our numbers: Forest 4.55, draw 4.35, Liverpool 1.82. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.

What time does Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool kick off in India?

19:30 IST India time on Sat, 17 Apr 2027 (15:00 UK), at City Ground in Nottingham. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.

Forest vs Liverpool mein kaun jeetega?

Wazir Win ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Forest 22%, draw 23%, Liverpool 55%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals are expected in Forest vs Liverpool?

2.9 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.

Will both teams score in Forest vs Liverpool?

We put both teams to score at 55%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 55%.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.