Premier League 2026/27
Ipswich Town vs Leeds United prediction
19:30
India time
Sat, 01 May 2027 · 15:00 UK
Portman Road, Ipswich
Draw 25%
Fair odds for the pick 2.13
In 30 seconds
- Ipswich 47%, draw 25%, Leeds 28%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.7 xG).
- Both teams to score: 53%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Ipswich
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Ipswich vs Leeds?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Ipswich. The Wazir Win goals model gives Ipswich 47%, the draw 25% and Leeds 28%, and expects 2.7 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0. Kick-off: Sat, 01 May 2027, 19:30 IST at Portman Road.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Ipswich
Ipswich are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (50% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Ipswich
Ipswich rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Ipswich vs Leeds?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Expected goals
- 1.56 – 1.13
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Ipswich vs Leeds
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 63%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Ipswich
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Leeds win beats it.
- 72%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is the likeliest script, and four goals would be an outlier.
- 11%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Ipswich 1-0 Leeds
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home · promoted
Ipswich Town
Ipswich are in their first season back and still learning the pace of the division. Expect a compact shape at Portman Road, long spells without the ball and danger from set pieces.
Away
Leeds United
Expect Leeds to stay compact on their trip to Portman Road and look for a moment rather than control the game.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Ipswich name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Leeds score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Ipswich vs Leeds
Ipswich Town take on Leeds United in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Ipswich's way. The gap in expected goals (1.56 for Ipswich, 1.13 for Leeds) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 47% for Ipswich. Leeds's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Ipswich and Leeds
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Ipswich play 7 days after their game away at Newcastle on 24 Apr. After this, they go away at Fulham 7 days after this one. League game 34 of 38.
Leeds play 7 days after their game at home to Liverpool on 24 Apr. After this, they go at home to Arsenal 7 days after this one. League game 34 of 38.
These sides already met at Elland Road on Sat, 05 Dec 2026, making this the return fixture.
More Ipswich and Leeds dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Ipswich Town vs Leeds United: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Ipswich vs Leeds?
Wazir Win predicts Ipswich Town. Our goals model gives Ipswich 47%, the draw 25% and Leeds 28%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Leeds United?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Ipswich vs Leeds?
On our numbers: Ipswich 2.13, draw 4.00, Leeds 3.57. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Ipswich Town vs Leeds United kick off in India?
19:30 IST India time on Sat, 01 May 2027 (15:00 UK), at Portman Road in Ipswich. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Ipswich vs Leeds mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Ipswich Town aage hain: Ipswich 47%, draw 25%, Leeds 28%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
How many goals are expected in Ipswich vs Leeds?
2.7 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 7% of the time.
What would make Leeds win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Ipswich's attack. We give Leeds 28%.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.