Premier League 2026/27
Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction
19:30
India time
Sun, 22 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UK
MKM Stadium, Hull
Draw 23%
Fair odds for the pick 1.79
In 30 seconds
- Brighton 56%, draw 23%, Hull 21%: a clear lean.
- Predicted score 0-1; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 53%.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Wazir Win pick
- Brighton
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Hull vs Brighton?
Clear lean: Brighton & Hove Albion. The Wazir Win goals model rates them 56% to win (fair odds 1.79), with the draw at 23%. We expect 2.8 goals and a 0-1 scoreline. Kick-off: Sun, 22 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST at MKM Stadium.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Hull's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Brighton's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (54% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Brighton
Brighton rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 23%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Hull vs Brighton?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%
- Expected goals
- 1.02 – 1.82
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Hull vs Brighton
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 73%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Brighton
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Hull win beats it.
- 54%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
2.8 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 11%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Hull 0-1 Brighton
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home · promoted
Hull City
As a promoted side, Hull will prioritise not conceding at MKM Stadium. Their best chances usually come from dead balls and transitions.
Away
Brighton & Hove Albion
Well organised and hard to play through, Brighton usually earn results on their trip to MKM Stadium by winning the midfield battle.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Brighton name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Hull score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Hull vs Brighton
Hull City take on Brighton & Hove Albion in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Brighton's way. The gap in expected goals (1.02 for Hull, 1.82 for Brighton) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 56% for Brighton. Hull's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Hull and Brighton
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Hull play 15 days after their game away at Arsenal on 07 Nov, with an international break in between, so rhythm could be rusty. After this, they go away at Palace 7 days after this one. League game 11 of 38.
Brighton play 14 days after their game at home to Brentford on 08 Nov, with an international break in between, so rhythm could be rusty. After this, they go at home to Newcastle 7 days after this one. League game 11 of 38.
They meet again at American Express Stadium on Sat, 06 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.
More Hull and Brighton dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Hull vs Brighton?
Wazir Win predicts Brighton & Hove Albion. Our goals model gives Hull 21%, the draw 23% and Brighton 56%, which we class as a clear lean.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 11%.
What are fair odds for Hull vs Brighton?
On our numbers: Hull 4.76, draw 4.35, Brighton 1.79. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion kick off in India?
19:30 IST India time on Sun, 22 Nov 2026 (14:00 UK), at MKM Stadium in Hull. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Hull vs Brighton mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Brighton & Hove Albion aage hain: Hull 21%, draw 23%, Brighton 56%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Hull vs Brighton?
We put both teams to score at 53%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 54%.
Where can I watch Hull vs Brighton?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.