Premier League 2026/27

Liverpool vs Manchester United prediction

By Wazir Win Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated
68%Our pick
Liverpool
Strong lean

22:00

India time

Sun, 22 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UK

Anfield, Liverpool

Draw 19%

Fair odds for the pick 1.47

13%Win chance
Manchester United

In 30 seconds

  1. Liverpool 68%, draw 19%, Man Utd 13%: a strong lean.
  2. Predicted score 2-0; goals expected (3.0 xG).
  3. Both teams to score: 49%.
Predicted score
2-0
Wazir Win pick
Liverpool
UK broadcast
Sky Sports
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Who wins Liverpool vs Man Utd?

Liverpool are our pick for Liverpool vs Man Utd, at 68% (strong lean). The model's likeliest result is 2-0, both teams score in 49% of simulations, and the draw sits at 19%. Kick-off is Sun, 22 Nov 2026, 22:00 IST.

What will decide it?

Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.

  1. Home edge

    Edge: Liverpool

    Liverpool are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.

  2. Goal expectancy

    Edge: Goals

    3.0 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 57% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Liverpool

    Liverpool rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 19%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.

How many goals in Liverpool vs Man Utd?

Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Expected goals
2.17 – 0.82
Half-time call
0-0

The Wazir Win bet slip for Liverpool vs Man Utd

Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.

  1. Banker

    risk

    84%

    Draw no bet

    Liverpool

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Man Utd win beats it.

  2. Smart value

    risk

    57%

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    3.0 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

  3. Wildcard

    risk

    12%

    Correct score

    Liverpool 2-0 Man Utd

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.

How do the two teams set up?

Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Liverpool

Liverpool are built to control games. They should hold most of the ball at Anfield and pin Man Utd back for long periods.

Away

Manchester United

Well organised and hard to play through, Man Utd usually earn results on their trip to Anfield by winning the midfield battle.

What would change our mind?

The developments we would react to before kick-off.

  • If Liverpool name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.

  • If Man Utd score first

    The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.

The story of Liverpool vs Man Utd

Manchester United head to Anfield for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a strong lean. We project 2.17 expected goals for Liverpool and 0.82 for Man Utd; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Liverpool win 68% of them. For Man Utd, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.

Calendar check: Liverpool and Man Utd

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Liverpool play 14 days after their game away at Palace on 08 Nov, with an international break in between, so rhythm could be rusty. After this, they go away at Everton 7 days after this one. League game 11 of 38.

Man Utd play 14 days after their game at home to Villa on 08 Nov, with an international break in between, so rhythm could be rusty. After this, they go at home to Brentford 6 days after this one. League game 11 of 38.

They meet again at Old Trafford on Sat, 23 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.

  1. 08 NovPalace vs LiverpoolSelhurst Park
  2. 08 NovMan Utd vs VillaOld Trafford
  3. 22 NovLiverpool vs Man UtdAnfield
  4. 28 NovMan Utd vs BrentfordOld Trafford
  5. 29 NovEverton vs LiverpoolHill Dickinson Stadium
  1. 23 JanManchester United vs LiverpoolPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  2. 29 NovEverton vs LiverpoolPremier League · 17:30 ISTOpen dossier
  3. 02 DecLiverpool vs SunderlandPremier League · 01:30 IST, next dayOpen dossier
  4. 28 NovManchester United vs BrentfordPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  5. 02 DecNewcastle United vs Manchester UnitedPremier League · 01:30 IST, next dayOpen dossier
  6. 22 NovHull City vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League · 19:30 ISTOpen dossier

Ready when you are

Follow this match with your Wazir Win ID

18+ only. Set a budget first and play responsibly.

Get your ID

FAQ · 8

Liverpool vs Manchester United: your questions answered

Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.

Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team

Who is predicted to win Liverpool vs Man Utd?

Wazir Win predicts Liverpool. Our goals model gives Liverpool 68%, the draw 19% and Man Utd 13%, which we class as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Manchester United?

Our likeliest scoreline is 2-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 12%.

What are fair odds for Liverpool vs Man Utd?

On our numbers: Liverpool 1.47, draw 5.26, Man Utd 7.69. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.

What time does Liverpool vs Manchester United kick off in India?

22:00 IST India time on Sun, 22 Nov 2026 (16:30 UK), at Anfield in Liverpool. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.

Liverpool vs Man Utd mein kaun jeetega?

Wazir Win ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Liverpool 68%, draw 19%, Man Utd 13%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Where can I watch Liverpool vs Man Utd?

In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Man Utd?

3.0 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 5% of the time.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.