Premier League 2026/27
Liverpool vs Sunderland prediction
01:30
India time
Wed, 02 Dec 2026 · 20:00 UK
Anfield, Liverpool
Draw 10%
Fair odds for the pick 1.16
In 30 seconds
- Liverpool 86%, draw 10%, Sunderland 4%: a strong lean.
- Predicted score 3-0; goals expected (3.6 xG).
- Both teams to score: 41%.
- Predicted score
- 3-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Liverpool
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Liverpool vs Sunderland?
Back Liverpool. Wazir Win makes them 86% to beat Sunderland, projects 3.08 to 0.56 in expected goals and calls the score 3-0. Over 2.5 goals: 70%. Kick-off: Wed, 02 Dec 2026, 01:30 IST, next day at Anfield.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Liverpool
Liverpool are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
3.6 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 70% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Liverpool
Liverpool rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 10%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Liverpool vs Sunderland?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 41%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70%
- Expected goals
- 3.08 – 0.56
- Half-time call
- 1-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Liverpool vs Sunderland
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 95%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Liverpool
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Sunderland win beats it.
- 70%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
3.6 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 13%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Liverpool 3-0 Sunderland
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Liverpool
Liverpool are built to control games. They should hold most of the ball at Anfield and pin Sunderland back for long periods.
Away
Sunderland
Sunderland are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball on their trip to Anfield, but short of the creativity to dominate.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Liverpool name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Sunderland score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Liverpool vs Sunderland
Sunderland head to Anfield for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a strong lean. We project 3.08 expected goals for Liverpool and 0.56 for Sunderland; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Liverpool win 86% of them. For Sunderland, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Liverpool and Sunderland
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Liverpool play 3 days after their game away at Everton on 29 Nov, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go away at Chelsea 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 13 of 38.
Sunderland play 3 days after their game at home to Spurs on 29 Nov, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go away at Newcastle 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 13 of 38.
They meet again at Stadium of Light on Tue, 05 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.
More Liverpool and Sunderland dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Liverpool vs Sunderland: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Liverpool vs Sunderland?
Wazir Win predicts Liverpool. Our goals model gives Liverpool 86%, the draw 10% and Sunderland 4%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Sunderland?
Our likeliest scoreline is 3-0 (half-time 1-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 3-0, at 13%.
What are fair odds for Liverpool vs Sunderland?
On our numbers: Liverpool 1.16, draw 10.00, Sunderland 25.00. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Liverpool vs Sunderland kick off in India?
01:30 IST, next day India time on Wed, 02 Dec 2026 (20:00 UK), at Anfield in Liverpool. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Liverpool vs Sunderland mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Liverpool 86%, draw 10%, Sunderland 4%. Sabse sambhav score 3-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
What would make Sunderland win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Liverpool's attack. We give Sunderland 4%.
Where can I watch Liverpool vs Sunderland?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Sunderland?
3.6 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 5, and a goalless draw comes up 3% of the time.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.