Premier League 2026/27

Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction

By Wazir Win Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated
30%Win chance
Sunderland
Coin flip

19:35

India time

Sun, 29 Nov 2026 · 14:05 UK

Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Draw 25%

Fair odds for the pick 2.22

45%Our pick
Tottenham Hotspur

In 30 seconds

  1. Spurs 45%, draw 25%, Sunderland 30%: a coin flip.
  2. Predicted score 0-1; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
  3. Both teams to score: 57%.
Predicted score
0-1
Wazir Win pick
Spurs
UK broadcast
Sky Sports
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Who wins Sunderland vs Spurs?

Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Spurs. The Wazir Win goals model gives Sunderland 30%, the draw 25% and Spurs 45%, and expects 2.8 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1. Kick-off: Sun, 29 Nov 2026, 19:35 IST at Stadium of Light.

What will decide it?

Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.

  1. Home edge

    Edge: Even

    Sunderland's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Spurs's quality advantage.

  2. Goal expectancy

    Edge: Even

    At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (54% for the over).

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Spurs

    Spurs rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.

How many goals in Sunderland vs Spurs?

Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.59
Half-time call
0-0

The Wazir Win bet slip for Sunderland vs Spurs

Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.

  1. Banker

    risk

    60%

    Draw no bet

    Spurs

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Sunderland win beats it.

  2. Smart value

    risk

    57%

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 57% of the time for us.

  3. Wildcard

    risk

    9%

    Correct score

    Sunderland 0-1 Spurs

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.

How do the two teams set up?

Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Sunderland

Sunderland are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Stadium of Light, but short of the creativity to dominate.

Away

Tottenham Hotspur

Well organised and hard to play through, Spurs usually earn results on their trip to Stadium of Light by winning the midfield battle.

What would change our mind?

The developments we would react to before kick-off.

  • If Spurs name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.

  • If Sunderland score first

    The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.

The story of Sunderland vs Spurs

Tottenham Hotspur head to Stadium of Light for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a coin flip. We project 1.25 expected goals for Sunderland and 1.59 for Spurs; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Spurs win 45% of them. For Sunderland, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.

Calendar check: Sunderland and Spurs

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Sunderland play 8 days after their game away at Villa on 21 Nov. After this, they go away at Liverpool 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 12 of 38.

Spurs play 8 days after their game at home to Ipswich on 21 Nov. After this, they go at home to Fulham 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 12 of 38.

They meet again at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sat, 30 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.

  1. 21 NovVilla vs SunderlandVilla Park
  2. 21 NovSpurs vs IpswichTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  3. 29 NovSunderland vs SpursStadium of Light
  4. 02 DecLiverpool vs SunderlandAnfield
  5. 02 DecSpurs vs FulhamTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  1. 30 JanTottenham Hotspur vs SunderlandPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  2. 02 DecLiverpool vs SunderlandPremier League · 01:30 IST, next dayOpen dossier
  3. 05 DecNewcastle United vs SunderlandPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  4. 02 DecTottenham Hotspur vs FulhamPremier League · 01:30 IST, next dayOpen dossier
  5. 05 DecTottenham Hotspur vs ArsenalPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  6. 29 NovEverton vs LiverpoolPremier League · 17:30 ISTOpen dossier

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FAQ · 8

Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur: your questions answered

Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.

Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team

Who is predicted to win Sunderland vs Spurs?

Wazir Win predicts Tottenham Hotspur. Our goals model gives Sunderland 30%, the draw 25% and Spurs 45%, which we class as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.

What are fair odds for Sunderland vs Spurs?

On our numbers: Sunderland 3.33, draw 4.00, Spurs 2.22. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.

What time does Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur kick off in India?

19:35 IST India time on Sun, 29 Nov 2026 (14:05 UK), at Stadium of Light in Sunderland. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.

Sunderland vs Spurs mein kaun jeetega?

Wazir Win ke goals model mein Tottenham Hotspur aage hain: Sunderland 30%, draw 25%, Spurs 45%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Spurs?

We put both teams to score at 57%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 54%.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.

What would make Sunderland win?

An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Spurs's attack. We give Sunderland 30%.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.