Premier League · Merseyside derby
Everton vs Liverpool prediction
17:30
India time
Sun, 29 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UK
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
Draw 22%
Fair odds for the pick 1.67
In 30 seconds
- Liverpool 60%, draw 22%, Everton 18%: a clear lean.
- Predicted score 0-1; the goals line is finely balanced (2.7 xG).
- It is the Merseyside derby: expect more cards and fewer clear chances.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Wazir Win pick
- Liverpool
- UK broadcast
- TNT Sports
- Projected cards
- 4.5-5.5
Who wins Everton vs Liverpool?
Back Liverpool. Wazir Win makes them 60% to beat Everton, projects 0.89 to 1.84 in expected goals and calls the score 0-1. Over 2.5 goals: 51%. Kick-off: Sun, 29 Nov 2026, 17:30 IST at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Everton's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Liverpool's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (51% for the over).
Derby heat
Edge: Draw
The Merseyside derby brings extra intensity, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies regularly finish closer than the table suggests.
How many goals in Everton vs Liverpool?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 49%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%
- Expected goals
- 0.89 – 1.84
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Everton vs Liverpool
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 77%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Liverpool
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Everton win beats it.
- 71%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is the likeliest script, and four goals would be an outlier.
- 12%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Everton 0-1 Liverpool
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Everton
Everton are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Hill Dickinson Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away
Liverpool
A side with title-level depth. Liverpool tend to suffocate opponents on their trip to Hill Dickinson Stadium, so Everton will need a disciplined, low block.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Liverpool name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Everton score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Everton vs Liverpool
Everton take on Liverpool in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Liverpool's way. As the Merseyside derby, form tends to count for less than usual, and we have tightened the numbers accordingly. The gap in expected goals (0.89 for Everton, 1.84 for Liverpool) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 60% for Liverpool. Everton's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Everton and Liverpool
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Everton play 6 days after their game away at Brentford on 23 Nov. After this, they go away at Villa 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 12 of 38.
Liverpool play 7 days after their game at home to Man Utd on 22 Nov. After this, they go at home to Sunderland 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 12 of 38.
They meet again at Anfield on Sat, 30 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: TNT Sports.
- 22 NovLiverpool vs Man UtdAnfield
- 23 NovBrentford vs EvertonGtech Community Stadium
- 29 NovEverton vs LiverpoolHill Dickinson Stadium
- 02 DecVilla vs EvertonVilla Park
- 02 DecLiverpool vs SunderlandAnfield
More Everton and Liverpool dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Everton vs Liverpool: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Everton vs Liverpool?
Wazir Win predicts Liverpool. Our goals model gives Everton 18%, the draw 22% and Liverpool 60%, which we class as a clear lean.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Liverpool?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 0-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Everton vs Liverpool?
On our numbers: Everton 5.56, draw 4.55, Liverpool 1.67. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Everton vs Liverpool kick off in India?
17:30 IST India time on Sun, 29 Nov 2026 (12:00 UK), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Everton vs Liverpool mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Everton 18%, draw 22%, Liverpool 60%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Liverpool?
We put both teams to score at 49%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals is 51%.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
What would make Everton win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Liverpool's attack. We give Everton 18%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.