Premier League 2026/27
Chelsea vs Liverpool prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 05 Dec 2026 · 15:00 UK
Stamford Bridge, London
Draw 25%
Fair odds for the pick 2.44
In 30 seconds
- Chelsea 41%, draw 25%, Liverpool 34%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 56%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Chelsea
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Chelsea vs Liverpool?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Chelsea. The Wazir Win goals model gives Chelsea 41%, the draw 25% and Liverpool 34%, and expects 2.8 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0. Kick-off: Sat, 05 Dec 2026, 20:30 IST at Stamford Bridge.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Chelsea
Chelsea are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (53% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Chelsea
Chelsea rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Chelsea vs Liverpool?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 56%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53%
- Expected goals
- 1.47 – 1.32
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Chelsea vs Liverpool
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 66%
Banker
risk
Double chance
Chelsea or draw
Covers two of the three results; only a Liverpool win loses.
- 56%
Smart value
risk
Both teams to score
Yes
Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 56% of the time for us.
- 9%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Chelsea 1-0 Liverpool
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Chelsea
Chelsea are built to control games. They should hold most of the ball at Stamford Bridge and pin Liverpool back for long periods.
Away
Liverpool
A side with title-level depth. Liverpool tend to suffocate opponents on their trip to Stamford Bridge, so Chelsea will need a disciplined, low block.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Chelsea name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Liverpool score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Chelsea vs Liverpool
Chelsea take on Liverpool in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Chelsea's way. The gap in expected goals (1.47 for Chelsea, 1.32 for Liverpool) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 41% for Chelsea. Liverpool's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Chelsea and Liverpool
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Chelsea play 3 days after their game at home to Palace on 02 Dec, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go away at Man City 7 days after this one. League game 14 of 38.
Liverpool play 3 days after their game at home to Sunderland on 02 Dec, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go at home to Leeds 7 days after this one. League game 14 of 38.
They meet again at Anfield on Sat, 01 May 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.
- 02 DecChelsea vs PalaceStamford Bridge
- 02 DecLiverpool vs SunderlandAnfield
- 05 DecChelsea vs LiverpoolStamford Bridge
- 12 DecMan City vs ChelseaEtihad Stadium
- 12 DecLiverpool vs LeedsAnfield
More Chelsea and Liverpool dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Chelsea vs Liverpool: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Chelsea vs Liverpool?
Wazir Win predicts Chelsea. Our goals model gives Chelsea 41%, the draw 25% and Liverpool 34%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Liverpool?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Chelsea vs Liverpool?
On our numbers: Chelsea 2.44, draw 4.00, Liverpool 2.94. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Chelsea vs Liverpool kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 (15:00 UK), at Stamford Bridge in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Chelsea vs Liverpool mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Chelsea aage hain: Chelsea 41%, draw 25%, Liverpool 34%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Liverpool?
We put both teams to score at 56%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 53%.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
How many goals are expected in Chelsea vs Liverpool?
2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.