Premier League 2026/27
Aston Villa vs Everton prediction
01:30
India time
Wed, 02 Dec 2026 · 20:00 UK
Villa Park, Birmingham
Draw 19%
Fair odds for the pick 1.47
In 30 seconds
- Villa 68%, draw 19%, Everton 13%: a strong lean.
- Predicted score 2-0; goals expected (3.0 xG).
- Both teams to score: 49%.
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Villa
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Villa vs Everton?
Strong lean: Aston Villa. The Wazir Win goals model rates them 68% to win (fair odds 1.47), with the draw at 19%. We expect 3.0 goals and a 2-0 scoreline. Kick-off: Wed, 02 Dec 2026, 01:30 IST, next day at Villa Park.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Villa
Villa are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
3.0 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 57% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Villa
Villa rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 19%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Villa vs Everton?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 49%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%
- Expected goals
- 2.14 – 0.82
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Villa vs Everton
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 84%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Villa
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Everton win beats it.
- 57%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
3.0 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 12%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Villa 2-0 Everton
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Aston Villa
Villa combine structure with enough quality in the final third to punish mistakes at Villa Park. Midfield control is their foundation.
Away
Everton
Everton are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball on their trip to Villa Park, but short of the creativity to dominate.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Villa name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Everton score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Villa vs Everton
Aston Villa take on Everton in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Villa's way. The gap in expected goals (2.14 for Villa, 0.82 for Everton) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 68% for Villa. Everton's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Villa and Everton
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Villa play 4 days after their game away at Ipswich on 28 Nov. After this, they go at home to Palace 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 13 of 38.
Everton play 3 days after their game at home to Liverpool on 29 Nov, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go at home to Fulham 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 13 of 38.
They meet again at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Tue, 05 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.
More Villa and Everton dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Aston Villa vs Everton: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Villa vs Everton?
Wazir Win predicts Aston Villa. Our goals model gives Villa 68%, the draw 19% and Everton 13%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Everton?
Our likeliest scoreline is 2-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Villa vs Everton?
On our numbers: Villa 1.47, draw 5.26, Everton 7.69. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Aston Villa vs Everton kick off in India?
01:30 IST, next day India time on Wed, 02 Dec 2026 (20:00 UK), at Villa Park in Birmingham. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Villa vs Everton mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Aston Villa aage hain: Villa 68%, draw 19%, Everton 13%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
How many goals are expected in Villa vs Everton?
3.0 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 5% of the time.
Where can I watch Villa vs Everton?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
What would make Everton win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Villa's attack. We give Everton 13%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.