Premier League 2026/27
Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa prediction
23:00
India time
Sat, 28 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UK
Portman Road, Ipswich
Draw 24%
Fair odds for the pick 2.00
In 30 seconds
- Villa 50%, draw 24%, Ipswich 26%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 0-1; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 56%.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Wazir Win pick
- Villa
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Ipswich vs Villa?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Villa. The Wazir Win goals model gives Ipswich 26%, the draw 24% and Villa 50%, and expects 2.8 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1. Kick-off: Sat, 28 Nov 2026, 23:00 IST at Portman Road.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Ipswich's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Villa's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (54% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Villa
Villa rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 24%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Ipswich vs Villa?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 56%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%
- Expected goals
- 1.15 – 1.70
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Ipswich vs Villa
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 66%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Villa
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Ipswich win beats it.
- 56%
Smart value
risk
Both teams to score
Yes
Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 56% of the time for us.
- 10%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Ipswich 0-1 Villa
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home · promoted
Ipswich Town
As a promoted side, Ipswich will prioritise not conceding at Portman Road. Their best chances usually come from dead balls and transitions.
Away
Aston Villa
Well organised and hard to play through, Villa usually earn results on their trip to Portman Road by winning the midfield battle.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Villa name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Ipswich score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Ipswich vs Villa
Aston Villa head to Portman Road for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a coin flip. We project 1.15 expected goals for Ipswich and 1.70 for Villa; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Villa win 50% of them. For Ipswich, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Ipswich and Villa
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Ipswich play 7 days after their game away at Spurs on 21 Nov. After this, they go away at Coventry 4 days after this one. League game 12 of 38.
Villa play 7 days after their game at home to Sunderland on 21 Nov. After this, they go at home to Everton 4 days after this one. League game 12 of 38.
They meet again at Villa Park on Sat, 30 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.
More Ipswich and Villa dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Ipswich vs Villa?
Wazir Win predicts Aston Villa. Our goals model gives Ipswich 26%, the draw 24% and Villa 50%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 11%.
What are fair odds for Ipswich vs Villa?
On our numbers: Ipswich 3.85, draw 4.17, Villa 2.00. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Ipswich Town vs Aston Villa kick off in India?
23:00 IST India time on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 (17:30 UK), at Portman Road in Ipswich. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Ipswich vs Villa mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Aston Villa aage hain: Ipswich 26%, draw 24%, Villa 50%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
What would make Ipswich win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Villa's attack. We give Ipswich 26%.
How many goals are expected in Ipswich vs Villa?
2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.
Where can I watch Ipswich vs Villa?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.