Premier League 2026/27
Leeds United vs Ipswich Town prediction
20:30
India time
Sat, 05 Dec 2026 · 15:00 UK
Elland Road, Leeds
Draw 25%
Fair odds for the pick 2.00
In 30 seconds
- Leeds 50%, draw 25%, Ipswich 25%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.7 xG).
- Both teams to score: 54%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Leeds
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Leeds vs Ipswich?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Leeds. The Wazir Win goals model gives Leeds 50%, the draw 25% and Ipswich 25%, and expects 2.7 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0. Kick-off: Sat, 05 Dec 2026, 20:30 IST at Elland Road.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Leeds
Leeds are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (51% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Leeds
Leeds rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Leeds vs Ipswich?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%
- Expected goals
- 1.64 – 1.09
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Leeds vs Ipswich
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 66%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Leeds
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Ipswich win beats it.
- 71%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is the likeliest script, and four goals would be an outlier.
- 11%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Leeds 1-0 Ipswich
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Leeds United
Expect Leeds to stay compact at Elland Road and look for a moment rather than control the game.
Away · promoted
Ipswich Town
Ipswich are in their first season back and still learning the pace of the division. Expect a compact shape on their trip to Elland Road, long spells without the ball and danger from set pieces.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Leeds name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Ipswich score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Leeds vs Ipswich
Leeds United take on Ipswich Town in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Leeds's way. The gap in expected goals (1.64 for Leeds, 1.09 for Ipswich) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 50% for Leeds. Ipswich's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Leeds and Ipswich
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Leeds play 3 days after their game away at Man City on 02 Dec, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go away at Liverpool 7 days after this one. League game 14 of 38.
Ipswich play 3 days after their game away at Coventry on 02 Dec, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go at home to Newcastle 7 days after this one. League game 14 of 38.
They meet again at Portman Road on Sat, 01 May 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.
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FAQ · 8
Leeds United vs Ipswich Town: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Leeds vs Ipswich?
Wazir Win predicts Leeds United. Our goals model gives Leeds 50%, the draw 25% and Ipswich 25%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Ipswich Town?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Leeds vs Ipswich?
On our numbers: Leeds 2.00, draw 4.00, Ipswich 4.00. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Leeds United vs Ipswich Town kick off in India?
20:30 IST India time on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 (15:00 UK), at Elland Road in Leeds. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Leeds vs Ipswich mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Leeds United aage hain: Leeds 50%, draw 25%, Ipswich 25%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Leeds vs Ipswich?
We put both teams to score at 54%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 51%.
How many goals are expected in Leeds vs Ipswich?
2.7 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 7% of the time.
What would make Ipswich win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Leeds's attack. We give Ipswich 25%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.