Premier League 2026/27
Hull City vs Newcastle United prediction
19:30
India time
Sun, 30 May 2027 · 15:00 UK
MKM Stadium, Hull
Draw 21%
Fair odds for the pick 1.64
In 30 seconds
- Newcastle 61%, draw 21%, Hull 18%: a clear lean.
- Predicted score 1-2; goals expected (3.1 xG).
- Both teams to score: 56%.
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Wazir Win pick
- Newcastle
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Hull vs Newcastle?
Newcastle United are our pick for Hull vs Newcastle, at 61% (clear lean). The model's likeliest result is 1-2, both teams score in 56% of simulations, and the draw sits at 21%. Kick-off is Sun, 30 May 2027, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Hull's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Newcastle's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
3.1 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 59% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Newcastle
Newcastle rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 21%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Hull vs Newcastle?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 56%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59%
- Expected goals
- 1.02 – 2.07
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Hull vs Newcastle
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 78%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Newcastle
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Hull win beats it.
- 56%
Smart value
risk
Both teams to score
Yes
Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 56% of the time for us.
- 10%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Hull 1-2 Newcastle
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home · promoted
Hull City
As a promoted side, Hull will prioritise not conceding at MKM Stadium. Their best chances usually come from dead balls and transitions.
Away
Newcastle United
Newcastle combine structure with enough quality in the final third to punish mistakes on their trip to MKM Stadium. Midfield control is their foundation.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Newcastle name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Hull score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Hull vs Newcastle
Hull City take on Newcastle United in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Newcastle's way. The gap in expected goals (1.02 for Hull, 2.07 for Newcastle) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 61% for Newcastle. Hull's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Hull and Newcastle
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Hull play 7 days after their game away at Brentford on 23 May. This closes their league season. League game 38 of 38.
Newcastle play 7 days after their game at home to Palace on 23 May. This closes their league season. League game 38 of 38.
These sides already met at St James' Park on Sat, 19 Sept 2026, making this the return fixture.
- 23 MayBrentford vs HullGtech Community Stadium
- 23 MayNewcastle vs PalaceSt James' Park
- 30 MayHull vs NewcastleMKM Stadium
More Hull and Newcastle dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Hull City vs Newcastle United: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Hull vs Newcastle?
Wazir Win predicts Newcastle United. Our goals model gives Hull 18%, the draw 21% and Newcastle 61%, which we class as a clear lean.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Newcastle United?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-2 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-2, at 10%.
What are fair odds for Hull vs Newcastle?
On our numbers: Hull 5.56, draw 4.76, Newcastle 1.64. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Hull City vs Newcastle United kick off in India?
19:30 IST India time on Sun, 30 May 2027 (15:00 UK), at MKM Stadium in Hull. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Hull vs Newcastle mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Newcastle United aage hain: Hull 18%, draw 21%, Newcastle 61%. Sabse sambhav score 1-2 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
How many goals are expected in Hull vs Newcastle?
3.1 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 5% of the time.
Will both teams score in Hull vs Newcastle?
We put both teams to score at 56%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 59%.
Where can I watch Hull vs Newcastle?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.