Premier League 2026/27
Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace prediction
19:30
India time
Sun, 23 May 2027 · 15:00 UK
St James' Park, Newcastle
Draw 23%
Fair odds for the pick 1.72
In 30 seconds
- Newcastle 58%, draw 23%, Palace 19%: a clear lean.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 52%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Newcastle
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Newcastle vs Palace?
Back Newcastle. Wazir Win makes them 58% to beat Palace, projects 1.84 to 0.95 in expected goals and calls the score 1-0. Over 2.5 goals: 53%. Kick-off: Sun, 23 May 2027, 19:30 IST at St James' Park.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Newcastle
Newcastle are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (53% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Newcastle
Newcastle rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 23%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Newcastle vs Palace?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 52%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53%
- Expected goals
- 1.84 – 0.95
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Newcastle vs Palace
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 75%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Newcastle
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Palace win beats it.
- 53%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
2.8 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 11%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Newcastle 1-0 Palace
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Newcastle United
Newcastle combine structure with enough quality in the final third to punish mistakes at St James' Park. Midfield control is their foundation.
Away
Crystal Palace
Expect Palace to stay compact on their trip to St James' Park and look for a moment rather than control the game.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Newcastle name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Palace score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Newcastle vs Palace
Newcastle United take on Crystal Palace in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Newcastle's way. The gap in expected goals (1.84 for Newcastle, 0.95 for Palace) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 58% for Newcastle. Palace's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Newcastle and Palace
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Newcastle play 8 days after their game away at Villa on 15 May. After this, they go away at Hull 7 days after this one. League game 37 of 38.
Palace play 8 days after their game at home to Brighton on 15 May. After this, they go at home to Leeds 7 days after this one. League game 37 of 38.
These sides already met at Selhurst Park on Sun, 25 Oct 2026, making this the return fixture.
- 15 MayVilla vs NewcastleVilla Park
- 15 MayPalace vs BrightonSelhurst Park
- 23 MayNewcastle vs PalaceSt James' Park
- 30 MayHull vs NewcastleMKM Stadium
- 30 MayPalace vs LeedsSelhurst Park
More Newcastle and Palace dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Newcastle vs Palace?
Wazir Win predicts Newcastle United. Our goals model gives Newcastle 58%, the draw 23% and Palace 19%, which we class as a clear lean.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-0, at 11%.
What are fair odds for Newcastle vs Palace?
On our numbers: Newcastle 1.72, draw 4.35, Palace 5.26. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace kick off in India?
19:30 IST India time on Sun, 23 May 2027 (15:00 UK), at St James' Park in Newcastle. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Newcastle vs Palace mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Newcastle United aage hain: Newcastle 58%, draw 23%, Palace 19%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
How many goals are expected in Newcastle vs Palace?
2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.
Where can I watch Newcastle vs Palace?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.