Premier League 2026/27
Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest prediction
01:00
India time
Wed, 30 Dec 2026 · 19:30 UK
St James' Park, Newcastle
Draw 20%
Fair odds for the pick 1.54
In 30 seconds
- Newcastle 65%, draw 20%, Forest 15%: a strong lean.
- Predicted score 2-0; goals expected (2.9 xG).
- Both teams to score: 51%.
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Newcastle
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Newcastle vs Forest?
Back Newcastle. Wazir Win makes them 65% to beat Forest, projects 2.04 to 0.87 in expected goals and calls the score 2-0. Over 2.5 goals: 56%. Kick-off: Wed, 30 Dec 2026, 01:00 IST, next day at St James' Park.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Newcastle
Newcastle are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
2.9 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 56% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Newcastle
Newcastle rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 20%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Newcastle vs Forest?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 51%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56%
- Expected goals
- 2.04 – 0.87
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Newcastle vs Forest
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 81%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Newcastle
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Forest win beats it.
- 56%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
2.9 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 11%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Newcastle 2-0 Forest
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Newcastle United
Newcastle combine structure with enough quality in the final third to punish mistakes at St James' Park. Midfield control is their foundation.
Away
Nottingham Forest
Expect Forest to stay compact on their trip to St James' Park and look for a moment rather than control the game.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Newcastle name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Forest score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Newcastle vs Forest
Newcastle United take on Nottingham Forest in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Newcastle's way. The gap in expected goals (2.04 for Newcastle, 0.87 for Forest) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 65% for Newcastle. Forest's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Newcastle and Forest
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Newcastle play 4 days after their game at home to Man City on 26 Dec. After this, they go away at Chelsea 4 days after this one. League game 18 of 38.
Forest play 3 days after their game away at Man Utd on 27 Dec, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go at home to Fulham 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 18 of 38.
They meet again at City Ground on Wed, 03 Mar 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.
- 26 DecNewcastle vs Man CitySt James' Park
- 27 DecMan Utd vs ForestOld Trafford
- 30 DecNewcastle vs ForestSt James' Park
- 02 JanForest vs FulhamCity Ground
- 03 JanChelsea vs NewcastleStamford Bridge
More Newcastle and Forest dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Newcastle vs Forest?
Wazir Win predicts Newcastle United. Our goals model gives Newcastle 65%, the draw 20% and Forest 15%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest?
Our likeliest scoreline is 2-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 11%.
What are fair odds for Newcastle vs Forest?
On our numbers: Newcastle 1.54, draw 5.00, Forest 6.67. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest kick off in India?
01:00 IST, next day India time on Wed, 30 Dec 2026 (19:30 UK), at St James' Park in Newcastle. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Newcastle vs Forest mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Newcastle United aage hain: Newcastle 65%, draw 20%, Forest 15%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Where can I watch Newcastle vs Forest?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
How many goals are expected in Newcastle vs Forest?
2.9 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.