Premier League 2026/27
Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United prediction
01:30
India time
Wed, 03 Mar 2027 · 20:00 UK
City Ground, Nottingham
Draw 26%
Fair odds for the pick 2.44
In 30 seconds
- Newcastle 41%, draw 26%, Forest 33%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 0-1; the goals line is finely balanced (2.7 xG).
- Both teams to score: 55%.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Wazir Win pick
- Newcastle
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Forest vs Newcastle?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Newcastle. The Wazir Win goals model gives Forest 33%, the draw 26% and Newcastle 41%, and expects 2.7 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1. Kick-off: Wed, 03 Mar 2027, 01:30 IST, next day at City Ground.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Forest's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Newcastle's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (52% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Newcastle
Newcastle rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 26%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Forest vs Newcastle?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- Expected goals
- 1.28 – 1.46
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Forest vs Newcastle
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 67%
Banker
risk
Double chance
Newcastle or draw
Covers two of the three results; only a Forest win loses.
- 55%
Smart value
risk
Both teams to score
Yes
Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 55% of the time for us.
- 9%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Forest 0-1 Newcastle
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Nottingham Forest
Expect Forest to stay compact at City Ground and look for a moment rather than control the game.
Away
Newcastle United
Newcastle combine structure with enough quality in the final third to punish mistakes on their trip to City Ground. Midfield control is their foundation.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Newcastle name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Forest score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Forest vs Newcastle
Nottingham Forest take on Newcastle United in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Newcastle's way. The gap in expected goals (1.28 for Forest, 1.46 for Newcastle) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 41% for Newcastle. Forest's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Forest and Newcastle
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Forest play 4 days after their game away at Everton on 27 Feb. After this, they go away at Spurs 10 days after this one. League game 28 of 38.
Newcastle play 4 days after their game at home to Brentford on 27 Feb. After this, they go away at Bournemouth 10 days after this one. League game 28 of 38.
These sides already met at St James' Park on Wed, 30 Dec 2026, making this the return fixture.
More Forest and Newcastle dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Forest vs Newcastle?
Wazir Win predicts Newcastle United. Our goals model gives Forest 33%, the draw 26% and Newcastle 41%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Forest vs Newcastle?
On our numbers: Forest 3.03, draw 3.85, Newcastle 2.44. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United kick off in India?
01:30 IST, next day India time on Wed, 03 Mar 2027 (20:00 UK), at City Ground in Nottingham. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Forest vs Newcastle mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Newcastle United aage hain: Forest 33%, draw 26%, Newcastle 41%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
What would make Forest win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Newcastle's attack. We give Forest 33%.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
How many goals are expected in Forest vs Newcastle?
2.7 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 7% of the time.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.