England tour of South Africa, 2026-27 · match 5 of 6
South Africa vs England 2nd ODI prediction
19:30
India time
Sat, 09 Jan 2027
Mangaung Oval, Bloemfontein
Fair odds for the pick 1.89
In 30 seconds
- South Africa at 53%: a slight lean (fair odds 1.89).
- Pitch suits batters; South Africa projected to post the bigger total.
- South Africa have home conditions on their side.
- Wazir Win pick
- South Africa
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- flat, high-scoring
- Favours
- Batters
Who wins the SA vs ENG 2nd ODI?
Slight lean: South Africa. Our model makes them 53% favourites for the 2nd ODI against England at Mangaung Oval, a fair price of 1.89. We project South Africa for 349 and England for 342 on a pitch that favours the batters. Start: Sat, 09 Jan 2027, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.
Surface read
Edge: Even
Hard, even and quick, with short boundaries and a rapid outfield. Defend a below-par total here and you are in trouble. Both sides will lean on the batters, so the deeper attack matters.
Toss call
Edge: Even
The toss is close to irrelevant. Both sides will back themselves to score heavily either way.
Series pressure
Edge: South Africa
A win here gives South Africa control with 1 match left, and losing would hand England momentum.
How many will South Africa and England score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a flat, high-scoring surface at Mangaung Oval.
Powerplay (0-10)
Middle Overs (11-40)
Death Overs (41-50)
The Wazir Win bet slip for SA vs ENG
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 53%
Banker
risk
Match result
South Africa to win
The model's headline call. Only worth it at odds of 1.89 or longer.
- 60%
Smart value
risk
South Africa first-innings total
Over 333.5
A 333.5 line leaves a buffer of roughly 15 runs against our 349 projection.
- 19%
Wildcard
risk
Top team batter
Kagiso Rabada (South Africa)
Trusted at the end of the innings. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.
Who can swing South Africa vs England?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
South Africa
Kagiso Rabada86
Trusted at the end of the innings
Marco Jansen81
Balances the XI
England
Chris Woakes83
Trusted at the end of the innings
Phil Salt92
Fast starter at the top
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before the first ball.
If Kagiso Rabada is left out
We would trim South Africa by around five points, turning this into a coin flip.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs mean more randomness, which helps the underdog.
The story of South Africa vs England
Match 5 of 6 is where England tour of South Africa, 2026-27 starts to take shape. South Africa come in at 53% because their batting and bowling both match these flat, high-scoring conditions a little better. South Africa play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. For England to win, they need early wickets or one innings of real substance; anything less and the favourites should control it.
On the toss: The toss is close to irrelevant. Both sides will back themselves to score heavily either way.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar check: 2nd ODI
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in England tour of South Africa, 2026-27.
Mangaung Oval in Bloemfontein hosts the 2nd ODI on Sat, 09 Jan 2027: fixture 5 of 6 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 1st ODI, was played 6 days before this one at Boland Park in Paarl, which means a travel day to Bloemfontein in between. A long break resets both camps, so the last game's momentum carries less weight than usual.
Up next: the 3rd ODI, 6 days after this match, at the same ground.
Also at Mangaung Oval on the Wazir Win calendar: 3rd ODI: South Africa vs England (15 Jan) (1 fixture in all).
- 03 Jan1st ODI: South Africa vs EnglandBoland Park
- 09 Jan2nd ODI: South Africa vs EnglandMangaung Oval
- 15 Jan3rd ODI: South Africa vs EnglandMangaung Oval
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FAQ · 9
SA vs ENG 2nd ODI: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win South Africa vs England?
Wazir Win predicts South Africa, with a 53% win chance against 47% for England. We class that as a slight lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, high-scoring pitch at Mangaung Oval should play.
What are fair odds for South Africa in the SA vs ENG 2nd ODI?
Our 53% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.89 for South Africa and 2.13 for England. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.
When does the SA vs ENG 2nd ODI start in IST?
It is scheduled for Sat, 09 Jan 2027, 19:30 IST at Mangaung Oval, Bloemfontein. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.
How will the pitch play at Mangaung Oval?
We read it as flat, high-scoring, which should favour the batters. Hard, even and quick, with short boundaries and a rapid outfield. Defend a below-par total here and you are in trouble.
What should the captain do at the toss in SA vs ENG?
The toss is close to irrelevant. Both sides will back themselves to score heavily either way. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What would it take for England to win?
England need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 47%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if South Africa change their best XI.
South Africa vs England mein kiski jeet pakki hai?
Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein South Africa ka palda bhaari hai: 53% chance, England ka 47%. Match Sat, 09 Jan 2027, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Bloemfontein ki pitch kaisi rahegi?
Humari report ke hisaab se pitch flat, high-scoring hai, yaani ballebazon ke liye pitch achhi hai, bada score sambhav hai. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
Who are the key players in South Africa vs England?
Kagiso Rabada (South Africa, trusted at the end of the innings) and Chris Woakes (England, trusted at the end of the innings). Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.