England tour of South Africa, 2026-27 · match 6 of 6
South Africa vs England 3rd ODI prediction
19:30
India time
Fri, 15 Jan 2027
Mangaung Oval, Bloemfontein
Fair odds for the pick 1.75
In 30 seconds
- South Africa at 57%: a clear lean (fair odds 1.75).
- Pitch suits batters; South Africa projected to post the bigger total.
- South Africa have home conditions on their side.
- Wazir Win pick
- South Africa
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- flat, high-scoring
- Favours
- Batters
Who wins the SA vs ENG 3rd ODI?
Back South Africa to win the SA vs ENG 3rd ODI. Wazir Win rates their chance at 57% (clear lean), with England on 43%. Projected totals: South Africa 344, England 338. Conditions at Mangaung Oval should favour the batters. First ball: Fri, 15 Jan 2027, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.
Surface read
Edge: Even
Hard, even and quick, with short boundaries and a rapid outfield. Defend a below-par total here and you are in trouble. Both sides will lean on the batters, so the deeper attack matters.
Series pressure
Edge: South Africa
It is the final game, so South Africa cannot afford to coast and England have nothing to save.
Toss call
Edge: Even
Whatever the call, both teams should get the runs on offer.
How many will South Africa and England score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a flat, high-scoring surface at Mangaung Oval.
Powerplay (0-10)
Middle Overs (11-40)
Death Overs (41-50)
The Wazir Win bet slip for SA vs ENG
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 57%
Banker
risk
Match result
South Africa to win
Our most likely outcome. If the bookmaker's price is shorter than 1.75, the value has gone.
- 58%
Smart value
risk
South Africa first-innings total
Over 328.5
Our projection sits near 344, comfortably clear of 328.5, so a slow start can still land it.
- 18%
Wildcard
risk
Top team batter
Reeza Hendricks (South Africa)
Steady hand in a chase. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.
Who can swing South Africa vs England?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
South Africa
Reeza Hendricks87
Steady hand in a chase
Lungi Ngidi86
Trusted at the end of the innings
England
Ben Stokes89
Balances the XI
Harry Brook86
Fast starter at the top
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before the first ball.
If Reeza Hendricks is left out
We would trim South Africa by around five points, turning this into a slight lean.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs mean more randomness, which helps the underdog.
The story of South Africa vs England
This is the last fixture of England tour of South Africa, 2026-27, so nobody is holding anything back. South Africa come in at 57% because their batting and bowling both match these flat, high-scoring conditions a little better. South Africa play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. England are far from out of it at 43%, but they will need their best players to deliver at the same time.
On the toss: Whatever the call, both teams should get the runs on offer.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar check: 3rd ODI
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in England tour of South Africa, 2026-27.
Mangaung Oval in Bloemfontein hosts the 3rd ODI on Fri, 15 Jan 2027: fixture 6 of 6 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 2nd ODI, was played 6 days before this one at this same venue, so both teams already have a read on the surface. A long break resets both camps, so the last game's momentum carries less weight than usual.
No fixtures follow in this series, so expect both sides to pick their best available XI.
Also at Mangaung Oval on the Wazir Win calendar: 2nd ODI: South Africa vs England (09 Jan) (1 fixture in all).
- 09 Jan2nd ODI: South Africa vs EnglandMangaung Oval
- 15 Jan3rd ODI: South Africa vs EnglandMangaung Oval
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FAQ · 9
SA vs ENG 3rd ODI: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win South Africa vs England?
Wazir Win predicts South Africa, with a 57% win chance against 43% for England. We class that as a clear lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, high-scoring pitch at Mangaung Oval should play.
What are fair odds for South Africa in the SA vs ENG 3rd ODI?
Our 57% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.75 for South Africa and 2.33 for England. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.
When does the SA vs ENG 3rd ODI start in IST?
It is scheduled for Fri, 15 Jan 2027, 19:30 IST at Mangaung Oval, Bloemfontein. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.
How will the pitch play at Mangaung Oval?
We read it as flat, high-scoring, which should favour the batters. Hard, even and quick, with short boundaries and a rapid outfield. Defend a below-par total here and you are in trouble.
What should the captain do at the toss in SA vs ENG?
Whatever the call, both teams should get the runs on offer. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What would it take for England to win?
England need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 43%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if South Africa change their best XI.
South Africa vs England mein kiski jeet pakki hai?
Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein South Africa ka palda bhaari hai: 57% chance, England ka 43%. Match Fri, 15 Jan 2027, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Bloemfontein ki pitch kaisi rahegi?
Humari report ke hisaab se pitch flat, high-scoring hai, yaani ballebazon ke liye pitch achhi hai, bada score sambhav hai. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
What totals does Wazir Win project for South Africa vs England?
South Africa 320-368 and England 315-361 in the first-innings total, with the biggest scoring burst expected in middle overs (11-40).
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.