Premier League · London derby
Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford prediction
19:30
India time
Sat, 10 Apr 2027 · 15:00 UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Draw 24%
Fair odds for the pick 1.69
In 30 seconds
- Spurs 59%, draw 24%, Brentford 17%: a clear lean.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.5 xG).
- It is the London derby: expect more cards and fewer clear chances.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Spurs
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 4.5-5.5
Who wins Spurs vs Brentford?
Tottenham Hotspur are our pick for Spurs vs Brentford, at 59% (clear lean). The model's likeliest result is 1-0, both teams score in 45% of simulations, and the draw sits at 24%. Kick-off is Sat, 10 Apr 2027, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Spurs
Spurs are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.5 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (46% for the over).
Derby heat
Edge: Draw
The London derby brings extra intensity, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies regularly finish closer than the table suggests.
How many goals in Spurs vs Brentford?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 45%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 1.71 – 0.80
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Spurs vs Brentford
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 77%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Spurs
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Brentford win beats it.
- 75%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is the likeliest script, and four goals would be an outlier.
- 14%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Spurs 1-0 Brentford
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Tottenham Hotspur
Well organised and hard to play through, Spurs usually earn results at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium by winning the midfield battle.
Away
Brentford
Brentford are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball on their trip to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Spurs name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Brentford score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Spurs vs Brentford
Brentford head to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a clear lean. As the London derby, form tends to count for less than usual, and we have tightened the numbers accordingly. We project 1.71 expected goals for Spurs and 0.80 for Brentford; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Spurs win 59% of them. For Brentford, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Spurs and Brentford
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Spurs play 21 days after their game away at Everton on 20 Mar, with an international break in between, so rhythm could be rusty. After this, they go away at Newcastle 7 days after this one. League game 31 of 38.
Brentford play 21 days after their game at home to Bournemouth on 20 Mar, with an international break in between, so rhythm could be rusty. After this, they go at home to Leeds 7 days after this one. League game 31 of 38.
These sides already met at Gtech Community Stadium on Sat, 22 Aug 2026, making this the return fixture.
- 20 MarEverton vs SpursHill Dickinson Stadium
- 20 MarBrentford vs BournemouthGtech Community Stadium
- 10 AprSpurs vs BrentfordTottenham Hotspur Stadium
- 17 AprNewcastle vs SpursSt James' Park
- 17 AprBrentford vs LeedsGtech Community Stadium
More Spurs and Brentford dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Spurs vs Brentford?
Wazir Win predicts Tottenham Hotspur. Our goals model gives Spurs 59%, the draw 24% and Brentford 17%, which we class as a clear lean.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-0, at 14%.
What are fair odds for Spurs vs Brentford?
On our numbers: Spurs 1.69, draw 4.17, Brentford 5.88. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford kick off in India?
19:30 IST India time on Sat, 10 Apr 2027 (15:00 UK), at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Spurs vs Brentford mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Tottenham Hotspur aage hain: Spurs 59%, draw 24%, Brentford 17%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
Where can I watch Spurs vs Brentford?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Will both teams score in Spurs vs Brentford?
We put both teams to score at 45%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals is 46%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.