Premier League 2026/27
Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction
19:30
India time
Sat, 17 Apr 2027 · 15:00 UK
St James' Park, Newcastle
Draw 23%
Fair odds for the pick 1.75
In 30 seconds
- Newcastle 57%, draw 23%, Spurs 20%: a clear lean.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 53%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Newcastle
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Newcastle vs Spurs?
Clear lean: Newcastle United. The Wazir Win goals model rates them 57% to win (fair odds 1.75), with the draw at 23%. We expect 2.8 goals and a 1-0 scoreline. Kick-off: Sat, 17 Apr 2027, 19:30 IST at St James' Park.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Newcastle
Newcastle are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (54% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Newcastle
Newcastle rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 23%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Newcastle vs Spurs?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%
- Expected goals
- 1.83 – 1.00
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Newcastle vs Spurs
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 74%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Newcastle
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Spurs win beats it.
- 54%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
2.8 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 11%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Newcastle 1-0 Spurs
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Newcastle United
Well organised and hard to play through, Newcastle usually earn results at St James' Park by winning the midfield battle.
Away
Tottenham Hotspur
Well organised and hard to play through, Spurs usually earn results on their trip to St James' Park by winning the midfield battle.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Newcastle name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Spurs score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Newcastle vs Spurs
Tottenham Hotspur head to St James' Park for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a clear lean. We project 1.83 expected goals for Newcastle and 1.00 for Spurs; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Newcastle win 57% of them. For Spurs, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Newcastle and Spurs
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Newcastle play 7 days after their game away at Liverpool on 10 Apr. After this, they go at home to Ipswich 7 days after this one. League game 32 of 38.
Spurs play 7 days after their game at home to Brentford on 10 Apr. After this, they go at home to Hull 7 days after this one. League game 32 of 38.
These sides already met at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sat, 29 Aug 2026, making this the return fixture.
More Newcastle and Spurs dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Newcastle vs Spurs?
Wazir Win predicts Newcastle United. Our goals model gives Newcastle 57%, the draw 23% and Spurs 20%, which we class as a clear lean.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 11%.
What are fair odds for Newcastle vs Spurs?
On our numbers: Newcastle 1.75, draw 4.35, Spurs 5.00. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur kick off in India?
19:30 IST India time on Sat, 17 Apr 2027 (15:00 UK), at St James' Park in Newcastle. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Newcastle vs Spurs mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Newcastle United aage hain: Newcastle 57%, draw 23%, Spurs 20%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
What would make Spurs win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Newcastle's attack. We give Spurs 20%.
Will both teams score in Newcastle vs Spurs?
We put both teams to score at 53%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 54%.
How many goals are expected in Newcastle vs Spurs?
2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.