Premier League 2026/27

AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest prediction

By Wazir Win Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated
50%Our pick
AFC Bournemouth
Coin flip

20:30

India time

Sat, 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK

Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

Draw 25%

Fair odds for the pick 2.00

25%Win chance
Nottingham Forest

In 30 seconds

  1. Bournemouth 50%, draw 25%, Forest 25%: a coin flip.
  2. Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.7 xG).
  3. Both teams to score: 54%.
Predicted score
1-0
Wazir Win pick
Bournemouth
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Who wins Bournemouth vs Forest?

Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Bournemouth. The Wazir Win goals model gives Bournemouth 50%, the draw 25% and Forest 25%, and expects 2.7 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0. Kick-off: Sat, 21 Nov 2026, 20:30 IST at Vitality Stadium.

What will decide it?

Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.

  1. Home edge

    Edge: Bournemouth

    Bournemouth are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.

  2. Goal expectancy

    Edge: Even

    At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (52% for the over).

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Bournemouth

    Bournemouth rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.

How many goals in Bournemouth vs Forest?

Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.10
Half-time call
0-0

The Wazir Win bet slip for Bournemouth vs Forest

Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.

  1. Banker

    risk

    66%

    Draw no bet

    Bournemouth

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Forest win beats it.

  2. Smart value

    risk

    52%

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    2.7 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

  3. Wildcard

    risk

    11%

    Correct score

    Bournemouth 1-0 Forest

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.

How do the two teams set up?

Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.

Home

AFC Bournemouth

Bournemouth are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Vitality Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.

Away

Nottingham Forest

Forest are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball on their trip to Vitality Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.

What would change our mind?

The developments we would react to before kick-off.

  • If Bournemouth name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.

  • If Forest score first

    The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.

The story of Bournemouth vs Forest

Nottingham Forest head to Vitality Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a coin flip. We project 1.64 expected goals for Bournemouth and 1.10 for Forest; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Bournemouth win 50% of them. For Forest, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.

Calendar check: Bournemouth and Forest

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Bournemouth play 13 days after their game away at Ipswich on 08 Nov, with an international break in between, so rhythm could be rusty. After this, they go away at Fulham 8 days after this one. League game 11 of 38.

Forest play 14 days after their game at home to Man City on 07 Nov, with an international break in between, so rhythm could be rusty. After this, they go at home to Chelsea 6 days after this one. League game 11 of 38.

They meet again at City Ground on Sat, 23 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.

  1. 07 NovForest vs Man CityCity Ground
  2. 08 NovIpswich vs BournemouthPortman Road
  3. 21 NovBournemouth vs ForestVitality Stadium
  4. 27 NovForest vs ChelseaCity Ground
  5. 29 NovFulham vs BournemouthCraven Cottage
  1. 23 JanNottingham Forest vs AFC BournemouthPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  2. 29 NovFulham vs AFC BournemouthPremier League · 19:35 ISTOpen dossier
  3. 02 DecAFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League · 01:30 IST, next dayOpen dossier
  4. 27 NovNottingham Forest vs ChelseaPremier League · 01:30 IST, next dayOpen dossier
  5. 02 DecHull City vs Nottingham ForestPremier League · 01:30 IST, next dayOpen dossier
  6. 21 NovManchester City vs FulhamPremier League · 18:00 ISTOpen dossier

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FAQ · 8

AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: your questions answered

Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.

Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team

Who is predicted to win Bournemouth vs Forest?

Wazir Win predicts AFC Bournemouth. Our goals model gives Bournemouth 50%, the draw 25% and Forest 25%, which we class as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.

What are fair odds for Bournemouth vs Forest?

On our numbers: Bournemouth 2.00, draw 4.00, Forest 4.00. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.

What time does AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest kick off in India?

20:30 IST India time on Sat, 21 Nov 2026 (15:00 UK), at Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.

Bournemouth vs Forest mein kaun jeetega?

Wazir Win ke goals model mein AFC Bournemouth aage hain: Bournemouth 50%, draw 25%, Forest 25%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Where can I watch Bournemouth vs Forest?

Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.

What would make Forest win?

An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Bournemouth's attack. We give Forest 25%.

How many goals are expected in Bournemouth vs Forest?

2.7 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 7% of the time.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.