Premier League 2026/27
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea prediction
01:30
India time
Fri, 27 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UK
City Ground, Nottingham
Draw 24%
Fair odds for the pick 2.04
In 30 seconds
- Chelsea 49%, draw 24%, Forest 27%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 0-1; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 56%.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Wazir Win pick
- Chelsea
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Forest vs Chelsea?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Chelsea. The Wazir Win goals model gives Forest 27%, the draw 24% and Chelsea 49%, and expects 2.8 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1. Kick-off: Fri, 27 Nov 2026, 01:30 IST, next day at City Ground.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Forest's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Chelsea's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (54% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Chelsea
Chelsea rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 24%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Forest vs Chelsea?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 56%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%
- Expected goals
- 1.16 – 1.67
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Forest vs Chelsea
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 65%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Chelsea
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Forest win beats it.
- 56%
Smart value
risk
Both teams to score
Yes
Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 56% of the time for us.
- 10%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Forest 0-1 Chelsea
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Nottingham Forest
Forest are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at City Ground, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away
Chelsea
A side with title-level depth. Chelsea tend to suffocate opponents on their trip to City Ground, so Forest will need a disciplined, low block.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Chelsea name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Forest score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Forest vs Chelsea
Chelsea head to City Ground for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a coin flip. We project 1.16 expected goals for Forest and 1.67 for Chelsea; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Chelsea win 49% of them. For Forest, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Forest and Chelsea
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Forest play 6 days after their game away at Bournemouth on 21 Nov. After this, they go away at Hull 5 days after this one. League game 12 of 38.
Chelsea play 6 days after their game at home to Leeds on 21 Nov. After this, they go at home to Palace 5 days after this one. League game 12 of 38.
They meet again at Stamford Bridge on Sat, 30 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.
More Forest and Chelsea dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Forest vs Chelsea?
Wazir Win predicts Chelsea. Our goals model gives Forest 27%, the draw 24% and Chelsea 49%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 11%.
What are fair odds for Forest vs Chelsea?
On our numbers: Forest 3.70, draw 4.17, Chelsea 2.04. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea kick off in India?
01:30 IST, next day India time on Fri, 27 Nov 2026 (20:00 UK), at City Ground in Nottingham. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Forest vs Chelsea mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Chelsea aage hain: Forest 27%, draw 24%, Chelsea 49%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Will both teams score in Forest vs Chelsea?
We put both teams to score at 56%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 54%.
Where can I watch Forest vs Chelsea?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
What would make Forest win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Chelsea's attack. We give Forest 27%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.