Australia tour of India, 2027 · match 3 of 5
India vs Australia 3rd Test prediction
19:30
India time
Thu, 11 Feb 2027
Barsapara Cricket Stadium, Guwahati
Fair odds for the pick 1.79
In 30 seconds
- India at 56%: a clear lean (fair odds 1.79).
- Balanced pitch; India projected to post the bigger total.
- India have home conditions on their side.
- Wazir Win pick
- India
- Format
- Test match
- Pitch
- balanced, dry
- Favours
- Balanced
Who wins the IND vs AUS 3rd Test?
India take this one on our numbers: 56% to 44% over Australia, which is a clear lean. Expect 279 from India and 267 from Australia at Barsapara Cricket Stadium, where neither side should hold the upper hand. Play starts Thu, 11 Feb 2027, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.
Surface read
Edge: Even
Nothing extreme in the surface: bowlers who hit a length will be rewarded, and so will batters who are patient early. Neither attack should be specially advantaged.
Toss call
Edge: Even
The coin matters little here; preparation and execution matter more.
Run-scoring edge
Edge: India
There is a 12-run cushion in India's favour on our projection, the single biggest reason the model leans their way.
How many will India and Australia score?
Projected session-by-session runs on day one, on a balanced, dry surface at Barsapara Cricket Stadium.
Session 1
Session 2
Session 3
The Wazir Win bet slip for IND vs AUS
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 56%
Banker
risk
Match result
India to win
Our most likely outcome. If the bookmaker's price is shorter than 1.79, the value has gone.
- 62%
Smart value
risk
India day-one total
Over 264.5
Our projection sits near 279, comfortably clear of 264.5, so a slow start can still land it.
- 20%
Wildcard
risk
Top team batter
Shreyas Iyer (India)
Built for long innings. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.
Who can swing India vs Australia?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
India
Shreyas Iyer80
Built for long innings
Kuldeep Yadav90
Can bowl all day
Australia
Pat Cummins84
Hits the deck hard
Josh Inglis86
Valuable runs at number seven
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before the first ball.
If Shreyas Iyer is left out
We would trim India by around five points, turning this into a coin flip.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain takes out a day or more
The draw becomes the likeliest result and our win call loses most of its value.
The story of India vs Australia
With 2 games of Australia tour of India, 2027 still to follow, this match 3 can tilt the series. The model leans to India at 56%, mostly on squad quality and how Barsapara Cricket Stadium has played in recent seasons. India play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. Australia are far from out of it at 44%, but they will need their best players to deliver at the same time.
On the toss: The coin matters little here; preparation and execution matter more.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar check: 3rd Test
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in Australia tour of India, 2027.
Barsapara Cricket Stadium in Guwahati hosts the 3rd Test on Thu, 11 Feb 2027: fixture 3 of 5 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 2nd Test, was played 11 days before this one at MA Chidambaram Stadium in Chennai, which means a travel day to Guwahati in between. A long break resets both camps, so the last game's momentum carries less weight than usual.
Up next: the 4th Test, 10 days after this match at JSCA International Stadium Complex in Ranchi.
Also at Barsapara Cricket Stadium on the Wazir Win calendar: 2nd ODI: India vs West Indies (30 Sep) (1 fixture in all).
- 31 Jan2nd Test: India vs AustraliaMA Chidambaram Stadium
- 11 Feb3rd Test: India vs AustraliaBarsapara Cricket Stadium
- 21 Feb4th Test: India vs AustraliaJSCA International Stadium Complex
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FAQ · 9
IND vs AUS 3rd Test: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win India vs Australia?
Wazir Win predicts India, with a 56% win chance against 44% for Australia. We class that as a clear lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry pitch at Barsapara Cricket Stadium should play.
What are fair odds for India in the IND vs AUS 3rd Test?
Our 56% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.79 for India and 2.27 for Australia. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.
When does the IND vs AUS 3rd Test start in IST?
It is scheduled for Thu, 11 Feb 2027, 19:30 IST at Barsapara Cricket Stadium, Guwahati. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.
How will the pitch play at Barsapara Cricket Stadium?
We read it as balanced, dry, which should favour neither side. Nothing extreme in the surface: bowlers who hit a length will be rewarded, and so will batters who are patient early.
What should the captain do at the toss in IND vs AUS?
The coin matters little here; preparation and execution matter more. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What would it take for Australia to win?
Australia need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 44%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if India change their best XI.
India vs Australia mein kiski jeet pakki hai?
Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein India ka palda bhaari hai: 56% chance, Australia ka 44%. Match Thu, 11 Feb 2027, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Guwahati ki pitch kaisi rahegi?
Humari report ke hisaab se pitch balanced, dry hai, yaani bat aur ball mein barabar ki takkar hai. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
Who are the key players in India vs Australia?
Shreyas Iyer (India, built for long innings) and Pat Cummins (Australia, hits the deck hard). Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.