Australia tour of India, 2027 · match 4 of 5
India vs Australia 4th Test prediction
19:30
India time
Sun, 21 Feb 2027
JSCA International Stadium Complex, Ranchi
Fair odds for the pick 1.79
In 30 seconds
- India at 56%: a clear lean (fair odds 1.79).
- Balanced pitch; India projected to post the bigger total.
- India have home conditions on their side.
- Wazir Win pick
- India
- Format
- Test match
- Pitch
- balanced, dry
- Favours
- Balanced
Who wins the IND vs AUS 4th Test?
Clear lean: India. Our model makes them 56% favourites for the 4th Test against Australia at JSCA International Stadium Complex, a fair price of 1.79. We project India for 281 and Australia for 266 on a pitch that favours neither side. Start: Sun, 21 Feb 2027, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.
Surface read
Edge: Even
An even contest is on the cards. Expect session scores close to the format average, with the better-executing side winning out. Neither attack should be specially advantaged.
Run-scoring edge
Edge: India
India project about 15 runs higher in the day-one total. Over a Test, a gap like that turns tight games into comfortable ones.
Toss call
Edge: Even
Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this surface.
How many will India and Australia score?
Projected session-by-session runs on day one, on a balanced, dry surface at JSCA International Stadium Complex.
Session 1
Session 2
Session 3
The Wazir Win bet slip for IND vs AUS
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 56%
Banker
risk
Match result
India to win
The model's headline call. Only worth it at odds of 1.79 or longer.
- 58%
Smart value
risk
India day-one total
Over 266.5
A 266.5 line leaves a buffer of roughly 14 runs against our 281 projection.
- 19%
Wildcard
risk
Top team batter
Rohit Sharma (India)
Built for long innings. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.
Who can swing India vs Australia?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
India
Rohit Sharma90
Built for long innings
Mohammed Siraj81
Hits the deck hard
Australia
Steve Smith81
Built for long innings
Josh Hazlewood88
Hits the deck hard
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before the first ball.
If Rohit Sharma is left out
We would trim India by around five points, turning this into a coin flip.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain takes out a day or more
The draw becomes the likeliest result and our win call loses most of its value.
The story of India vs Australia
Match 4 of 5 is where Australia tour of India, 2027 starts to take shape. Our read is that India have the stronger unit for a balanced, dry Test pitch, and the model reflects that at 56%. India play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. Australia's route to an upset runs through the first hour: get on top early and the 44% chance we give them starts to look generous.
On the toss: Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this surface.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar check: 4th Test
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in Australia tour of India, 2027.
JSCA International Stadium Complex in Ranchi hosts the 4th Test on Sun, 21 Feb 2027: fixture 4 of 5 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 3rd Test, was played 10 days before this one at Barsapara Cricket Stadium in Guwahati, which means a travel day to Ranchi in between. A long break resets both camps, so the last game's momentum carries less weight than usual.
Up next: the 5th Test, 10 days after this match at Narendra Modi Stadium in Ahmedabad.
Also at JSCA International Stadium Complex on the Wazir Win calendar: 2nd T20I: India vs West Indies (08 Oct) (1 fixture in all).
- 11 Feb3rd Test: India vs AustraliaBarsapara Cricket Stadium
- 21 Feb4th Test: India vs AustraliaJSCA International Stadium Complex
- 03 Mar5th Test: India vs AustraliaNarendra Modi Stadium
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FAQ · 9
IND vs AUS 4th Test: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win India vs Australia?
Wazir Win predicts India, with a 56% win chance against 44% for Australia. We class that as a clear lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry pitch at JSCA International Stadium Complex should play.
What are fair odds for India in the IND vs AUS 4th Test?
Our 56% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.79 for India and 2.27 for Australia. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.
When does the IND vs AUS 4th Test start in IST?
It is scheduled for Sun, 21 Feb 2027, 19:30 IST at JSCA International Stadium Complex, Ranchi. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.
How will the pitch play at JSCA International Stadium Complex?
We read it as balanced, dry, which should favour neither side. An even contest is on the cards. Expect session scores close to the format average, with the better-executing side winning out.
What should the captain do at the toss in IND vs AUS?
Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this surface. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What would it take for Australia to win?
Australia need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 44%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if India change their best XI.
India vs Australia mein kiski jeet pakki hai?
Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein India ka palda bhaari hai: 56% chance, Australia ka 44%. Match Sun, 21 Feb 2027, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Ranchi ki pitch kaisi rahegi?
Humari report ke hisaab se pitch balanced, dry hai, yaani bat aur ball mein barabar ki takkar hai. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
What totals does Wazir Win project for India vs Australia?
India 258-304 and Australia 242-290 in the day-one total, with the biggest scoring burst expected in session 2.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.