Australia tour of India, 2027 · match 5 of 5
India vs Australia 5th Test prediction
19:30
India time
Wed, 03 Mar 2027
Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad
Fair odds for the pick 1.59
In 30 seconds
- India at 63%: a strong lean (fair odds 1.59).
- Balanced pitch; India projected to post the bigger total.
- India have home conditions on their side.
- Wazir Win pick
- India
- Format
- Test match
- Pitch
- balanced, dry
- Favours
- Balanced
Who wins the IND vs AUS 5th Test?
Strong lean: India. Our model makes them 63% favourites for the 5th Test against Australia at Narendra Modi Stadium, a fair price of 1.59. We project India for 274 and Australia for 266 on a pitch that favours neither side. Start: Wed, 03 Mar 2027, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.
Surface read
Edge: Even
A middle-of-the-road pitch with a little for everyone, so session totals should land near the usual numbers for the format. Neither attack should be specially advantaged.
Series pressure
Edge: India
It is the final game, so India cannot afford to coast and Australia have nothing to save.
Toss call
Edge: Even
Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this surface.
How many will India and Australia score?
Projected session-by-session runs on day one, on a balanced, dry surface at Narendra Modi Stadium.
Session 1
Session 2
Session 3
The Wazir Win bet slip for IND vs AUS
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 63%
Banker
risk
Match result
India to win
Our most likely outcome. If the bookmaker's price is shorter than 1.59, the value has gone.
- 60%
Smart value
risk
India day-one total
Over 259.5
Our projection sits near 274, comfortably clear of 259.5, so a slow start can still land it.
- 24%
Wildcard
risk
Top team batter
Shubman Gill (India)
Built for long innings. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.
Who can swing India vs Australia?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
India
Shubman Gill94
Built for long innings
Ravindra Jadeja82
Gives the side a fifth bowler
Australia
Steve Smith91
Built for long innings
Cameron Green90
Gives the side a fifth bowler
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before the first ball.
If Shubman Gill is left out
We would trim India by around five points, turning this into a clear lean.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain takes out a day or more
The draw becomes the likeliest result and our win call loses most of its value.
The story of India vs Australia
This is the last fixture of Australia tour of India, 2027, so nobody is holding anything back. India come in at 63% because their batting and bowling both match these balanced, dry conditions a little better. India play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. Australia are far from out of it at 37%, but they will need their best players to deliver at the same time.
On the toss: Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this surface.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar check: 5th Test
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in Australia tour of India, 2027.
Narendra Modi Stadium in Ahmedabad hosts the 5th Test on Wed, 03 Mar 2027: fixture 5 of 5 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 4th Test, was played 10 days before this one at JSCA International Stadium Complex in Ranchi, which means a travel day to Ahmedabad in between. A long break resets both camps, so the last game's momentum carries less weight than usual.
No fixtures follow in this series, so expect both sides to pick their best available XI.
Also at Narendra Modi Stadium on the Wazir Win calendar: 3rd ODI: India vs Sri Lanka (19 Dec) (1 fixture in all).
- 21 Feb4th Test: India vs AustraliaJSCA International Stadium Complex
- 03 Mar5th Test: India vs AustraliaNarendra Modi Stadium
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FAQ · 9
IND vs AUS 5th Test: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win India vs Australia?
Wazir Win predicts India, with a 63% win chance against 37% for Australia. We class that as a strong lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry pitch at Narendra Modi Stadium should play.
What are fair odds for India in the IND vs AUS 5th Test?
Our 63% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.59 for India and 2.70 for Australia. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.
When does the IND vs AUS 5th Test start in IST?
It is scheduled for Wed, 03 Mar 2027, 19:30 IST at Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.
How will the pitch play at Narendra Modi Stadium?
We read it as balanced, dry, which should favour neither side. A middle-of-the-road pitch with a little for everyone, so session totals should land near the usual numbers for the format.
What should the captain do at the toss in IND vs AUS?
Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this surface. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What would it take for Australia to win?
Australia need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 37%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if India change their best XI.
India vs Australia mein kiski jeet pakki hai?
Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein India ka palda bhaari hai: 63% chance, Australia ka 37%. Match Wed, 03 Mar 2027, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Ahmedabad ki pitch kaisi rahegi?
Humari report ke hisaab se pitch balanced, dry hai, yaani bat aur ball mein barabar ki takkar hai. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
Who are the key players in India vs Australia?
Shubman Gill (India, built for long innings) and Steve Smith (Australia, built for long innings). Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.