Zimbabwe tour of India, 2027 · match 3 of 3

India vs Zimbabwe 3rd ODI prediction

By Wazir Win Cricket Desk, match analysisUpdated
74%Our pick
India
Strong lean

19:30

India time

Sat, 09 Jan 2027

Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai

Fair odds for the pick 1.35

26%Win chance
Zimbabwe

In 30 seconds

  1. India at 74%: a strong lean (fair odds 1.35).
  2. Pitch suits batters; India projected to post the bigger total.
  3. India have home conditions on their side.
Wazir Win pick
India
Format
ODI · 50 overs
Pitch
flat, high-scoring
Favours
Batters

Who wins the IND vs ZIM 3rd ODI?

India take this one on our numbers: 74% to 26% over Zimbabwe, which is a strong lean. Expect 348 from India and 312 from Zimbabwe at Wankhede Stadium, where the batters should hold the upper hand. Play starts Sat, 09 Jan 2027, 19:30 IST.

What will decide it?

The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.

  1. Surface read

    Edge: Even

    A run-fest pitch: true bounce, good carry and little sideways movement. Death bowling and cutters will decide how big the totals get. Both sides will lean on the batters, so the deeper attack matters.

  2. Toss call

    Edge: Even

    Neither batting nor bowling first offers a real edge when the pitch stays this good.

  3. Series pressure

    Edge: India

    It is the final game, so India cannot afford to coast and Zimbabwe have nothing to save.

How many will India and Zimbabwe score?

Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a flat, high-scoring surface at Wankhede Stadium.

Powerplay (0-10)

Middle Overs (11-40)

Death Overs (41-50)

India ZimbabweInnings: IND 324-372 · ZIM 288-336

The Wazir Win bet slip for IND vs ZIM

Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.

  1. Banker

    risk

    74%

    Match result

    India to win

    The model's headline call. Only worth it at odds of 1.35 or longer.

  2. Smart value

    risk

    58%

    India first-innings total

    Over 332.5

    A 332.5 line leaves a buffer of roughly 15 runs against our 348 projection.

  3. Wildcard

    risk

    23%

    Top team batter

    Hardik Pandya (India)

    Balances the XI. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.

Who can swing India vs Zimbabwe?

Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.

India

  • Hardik Pandya82

    Balances the XI

  • Kuldeep Yadav94

    Takes wickets through the middle

Zimbabwe

  • Sean Williams92

    Balances the XI

  • Craig Ervine88

    Fast starter at the top

What would change our mind?

The developments we would react to before the first ball.

  • If Hardik Pandya is left out

    We would trim India by around five points, turning this into a strong lean.

  • If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss

    More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting line-ups.

  • If rain shortens the match

    Fewer overs mean more randomness, which helps the underdog.

The story of India vs Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe tour of India, 2027 ends here, which means full-strength line-ups and no saving players for later. Our read is that India have the stronger unit for a flat, high-scoring ODI pitch, and the model reflects that at 74%. India play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. Zimbabwe are far from out of it at 26%, but they will need their best players to deliver at the same time.

On the toss: Neither batting nor bowling first offers a real edge when the pitch stays this good.

Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.

Calendar check: 3rd ODI

Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in Zimbabwe tour of India, 2027.

Wankhede Stadium in Mumbai hosts the 3rd ODI on Sat, 09 Jan 2027: fixture 3 of 3 in the series.

The previous fixture, the 2nd ODI, was played 3 days before this one at Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium in Hyderabad, which means a travel day to Mumbai in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.

No fixtures follow in this series, so expect both sides to pick their best available XI.

  1. 06 Jan2nd ODI: India vs ZimbabweRajiv Gandhi International Stadium
  2. 09 Jan3rd ODI: India vs ZimbabweWankhede Stadium
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  2. 06 Jan2nd ODI: India vs ZimbabweZimbabwe tour of India, 2027Open dossier
  3. 13 Dec1st ODI: India vs Sri LankaSri Lanka tour of India, 2026Open dossier
  4. 16 Dec2nd ODI: India vs Sri LankaSri Lanka tour of India, 2026Open dossier

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FAQ · 9

IND vs ZIM 3rd ODI: your questions answered

Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.

Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team

Who is predicted to win India vs Zimbabwe?

Wazir Win predicts India, with a 74% win chance against 26% for Zimbabwe. We class that as a strong lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, high-scoring pitch at Wankhede Stadium should play.

What are fair odds for India in the IND vs ZIM 3rd ODI?

Our 74% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.35 for India and 3.85 for Zimbabwe. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.

When does the IND vs ZIM 3rd ODI start in IST?

It is scheduled for Sat, 09 Jan 2027, 19:30 IST at Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.

How will the pitch play at Wankhede Stadium?

We read it as flat, high-scoring, which should favour the batters. A run-fest pitch: true bounce, good carry and little sideways movement. Death bowling and cutters will decide how big the totals get.

What should the captain do at the toss in IND vs ZIM?

Neither batting nor bowling first offers a real edge when the pitch stays this good. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.

What would it take for Zimbabwe to win?

Zimbabwe need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 26%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if India change their best XI.

India vs Zimbabwe mein kiski jeet pakki hai?

Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein India ka palda bhaari hai: 74% chance, Zimbabwe ka 26%. Match Sat, 09 Jan 2027, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Mumbai ki pitch kaisi rahegi?

Humari report ke hisaab se pitch flat, high-scoring hai, yaani ballebazon ke liye pitch achhi hai, bada score sambhav hai. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.

Who are the key players in India vs Zimbabwe?

Hardik Pandya (India, balances the xi) and Sean Williams (Zimbabwe, balances the xi). Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.

Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.