Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026 · match 1 of 6
India vs Sri Lanka 1st ODI prediction
19:30
India time
Sun, 13 Dec 2026
Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi
Fair odds for the pick 1.43
In 30 seconds
- India at 70%: a strong lean (fair odds 1.43).
- Balanced pitch; India projected to post the bigger total.
- India have home conditions on their side.
- Wazir Win pick
- India
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- balanced, dry
- Favours
- Balanced
Who wins the IND vs SL 1st ODI?
Strong lean: India. Our model makes them 70% favourites for the 1st ODI against Sri Lanka at Arun Jaitley Stadium, a fair price of 1.43. We project India for 335 and Sri Lanka for 317 on a pitch that favours neither side. Start: Sun, 13 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.
Surface read
Edge: Even
A middle-of-the-road pitch with a little for everyone, so phase totals should land near the usual numbers for the format. Neither attack should be specially advantaged.
Toss call
Edge: Even
The coin matters little here; preparation and execution matter more.
Run-scoring edge
Edge: India
There is a 18-run cushion in India's favour on our projection, the single biggest reason the model leans their way.
How many will India and Sri Lanka score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a balanced, dry surface at Arun Jaitley Stadium.
Powerplay (0-10)
Middle Overs (11-40)
Death Overs (41-50)
The Wazir Win bet slip for IND vs SL
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 70%
Banker
risk
Match result
India to win
Our most likely outcome. If the bookmaker's price is shorter than 1.43, the value has gone.
- 62%
Smart value
risk
India first-innings total
Over 318.5
Our projection sits near 335, comfortably clear of 318.5, so a slow start can still land it.
- 20%
Wildcard
risk
Top team batter
Hardik Pandya (India)
Balances the XI. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.
Who can swing India vs Sri Lanka?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
India
Hardik Pandya83
Balances the XI
Mohammed Siraj92
Trusted at the end of the innings
Sri Lanka
Charith Asalanka83
Steady hand in a chase
Matheesha Pathirana93
Trusted at the end of the innings
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before the first ball.
If Hardik Pandya is left out
We would trim India by around five points, turning this into a strong lean.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs mean more randomness, which helps the underdog.
The story of India vs Sri Lanka
Game one of Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026 sets the tone for everything after it, and both camps know it. Our read is that India have the stronger unit for a balanced, dry ODI pitch, and the model reflects that at 70%. India play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. Sri Lanka's route to an upset runs through the first hour: get on top early and the 30% chance we give them starts to look generous.
On the toss: The coin matters little here; preparation and execution matter more.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar check: 1st ODI
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026.
Arun Jaitley Stadium in Delhi hosts the 1st ODI on Sun, 13 Dec 2026: fixture 1 of 6 in the series.
As the series opener, there is no head-to-head evidence from this tour yet, so the market leans on reputation.
Up next: the 2nd ODI, 3 days after this match at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium in Bengaluru.
- 13 Dec1st ODI: India vs Sri LankaArun Jaitley Stadium
- 16 Dec2nd ODI: India vs Sri LankaM. Chinnaswamy Stadium
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FAQ · 9
IND vs SL 1st ODI: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win India vs Sri Lanka?
Wazir Win predicts India, with a 70% win chance against 30% for Sri Lanka. We class that as a strong lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry pitch at Arun Jaitley Stadium should play.
What are fair odds for India in the IND vs SL 1st ODI?
Our 70% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.43 for India and 3.33 for Sri Lanka. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.
When does the IND vs SL 1st ODI start in IST?
It is scheduled for Sun, 13 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST at Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.
How will the pitch play at Arun Jaitley Stadium?
We read it as balanced, dry, which should favour neither side. A middle-of-the-road pitch with a little for everyone, so phase totals should land near the usual numbers for the format.
What should the captain do at the toss in IND vs SL?
The coin matters little here; preparation and execution matter more. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What would it take for Sri Lanka to win?
Sri Lanka need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 30%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if India change their best XI.
India vs Sri Lanka mein kiski jeet pakki hai?
Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein India ka palda bhaari hai: 70% chance, Sri Lanka ka 30%. Match Sun, 13 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Delhi ki pitch kaisi rahegi?
Humari report ke hisaab se pitch balanced, dry hai, yaani bat aur ball mein barabar ki takkar hai. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
Who are the key players in India vs Sri Lanka?
Hardik Pandya (India, balances the xi) and Charith Asalanka (Sri Lanka, steady hand in a chase). Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.