Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026 · match 3 of 6
India vs Sri Lanka 3rd ODI prediction
19:30
India time
Sat, 19 Dec 2026
Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad
Fair odds for the pick 1.37
In 30 seconds
- India at 73%: a strong lean (fair odds 1.37).
- Balanced pitch; India projected to post the bigger total.
- India have home conditions on their side.
- Wazir Win pick
- India
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- balanced, dry
- Favours
- Balanced
Who wins the IND vs SL 3rd ODI?
India take this one on our numbers: 73% to 27% over Sri Lanka, which is a strong lean. Expect 337 from India and 317 from Sri Lanka at Narendra Modi Stadium, where neither side should hold the upper hand. Play starts Sat, 19 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.
Surface read
Edge: Even
An even contest is on the cards. Expect phase scores close to the format average, with the better-executing side winning out. Neither attack should be specially advantaged.
Toss call
Edge: Even
Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this surface.
Series pressure
Edge: India
A win here gives India control with 3 matches left, and losing would hand Sri Lanka momentum.
How many will India and Sri Lanka score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a balanced, dry surface at Narendra Modi Stadium.
Powerplay (0-10)
Middle Overs (11-40)
Death Overs (41-50)
The Wazir Win bet slip for IND vs SL
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 73%
Banker
risk
Match result
India to win
The model's headline call. Only worth it at odds of 1.37 or longer.
- 60%
Smart value
risk
India first-innings total
Over 321.5
A 321.5 line leaves a buffer of roughly 15 runs against our 337 projection.
- 21%
Wildcard
risk
Top team batter
Shreyas Iyer (India)
Steady hand in a chase. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.
Who can swing India vs Sri Lanka?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
India
Shreyas Iyer83
Steady hand in a chase
Mohammed Siraj85
Trusted at the end of the innings
Sri Lanka
Sadeera Samarawickrama85
Steady hand in a chase
Dushmantha Chameera84
Trusted at the end of the innings
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before the first ball.
If Shreyas Iyer is left out
We would trim India by around five points, turning this into a strong lean.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs mean more randomness, which helps the underdog.
The story of India vs Sri Lanka
Match 3 of 6 is where Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026 starts to take shape. Our read is that India have the stronger unit for a balanced, dry ODI pitch, and the model reflects that at 73%. India play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. Sri Lanka's route to an upset runs through the first hour: get on top early and the 27% chance we give them starts to look generous.
On the toss: Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this surface.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar check: 3rd ODI
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026.
Narendra Modi Stadium in Ahmedabad hosts the 3rd ODI on Sat, 19 Dec 2026: fixture 3 of 6 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 2nd ODI, was played 3 days before this one at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium in Bengaluru, which means a travel day to Ahmedabad in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.
Up next: the 1st T20I, 2 days after this match at Niranjan Shah Stadium in Rajkot.
Also at Narendra Modi Stadium on the Wazir Win calendar: 5th Test: India vs Australia (03 Mar) (1 fixture in all).
- 16 Dec2nd ODI: India vs Sri LankaM. Chinnaswamy Stadium
- 19 Dec3rd ODI: India vs Sri LankaNarendra Modi Stadium
- 21 Dec1st T20I: India vs Sri LankaNiranjan Shah Stadium
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FAQ · 9
IND vs SL 3rd ODI: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win India vs Sri Lanka?
Wazir Win predicts India, with a 73% win chance against 27% for Sri Lanka. We class that as a strong lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry pitch at Narendra Modi Stadium should play.
What are fair odds for India in the IND vs SL 3rd ODI?
Our 73% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.37 for India and 3.70 for Sri Lanka. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.
When does the IND vs SL 3rd ODI start in IST?
It is scheduled for Sat, 19 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST at Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.
How will the pitch play at Narendra Modi Stadium?
We read it as balanced, dry, which should favour neither side. An even contest is on the cards. Expect phase scores close to the format average, with the better-executing side winning out.
What should the captain do at the toss in IND vs SL?
Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this surface. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What would it take for Sri Lanka to win?
Sri Lanka need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 27%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if India change their best XI.
India vs Sri Lanka mein kiski jeet pakki hai?
Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein India ka palda bhaari hai: 73% chance, Sri Lanka ka 27%. Match Sat, 19 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Ahmedabad ki pitch kaisi rahegi?
Humari report ke hisaab se pitch balanced, dry hai, yaani bat aur ball mein barabar ki takkar hai. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
What happens to bets if rain affects IND vs SL?
Reduced overs bring in DLS targets, and too few overs means a no-result. Each bookmaker's rules decide which markets stand. Check the Ahmedabad forecast before you play.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.