Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026 · match 6 of 6
India vs Sri Lanka 3rd T20I prediction
19:30
India time
Sun, 27 Dec 2026
Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Pune
Fair odds for the pick 1.43
In 30 seconds
- India at 70%: a strong lean (fair odds 1.43).
- Balanced pitch; India projected to post the bigger total.
- India have home conditions on their side.
- Wazir Win pick
- India
- Format
- T20 International
- Pitch
- balanced, dry
- Favours
- Balanced
Who wins the IND vs SL 3rd T20I?
Back India to win the IND vs SL 3rd T20I. Wazir Win rates their chance at 70% (strong lean), with Sri Lanka on 30%. Projected totals: India 212, Sri Lanka 184. Conditions at Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium should favour neither side. First ball: Sun, 27 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.
Surface read
Edge: Even
An even contest is on the cards. Expect phase scores close to the format average, with the better-executing side winning out. Neither attack should be specially advantaged.
Toss call
Edge: Even
Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this surface.
Run-scoring edge
Edge: India
There is a 28-run cushion in India's favour on our projection, the single biggest reason the model leans their way.
How many will India and Sri Lanka score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a balanced, dry surface at Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium.
Powerplay (0-6)
Middle Overs (7-15)
Death Overs (16-20)
The Wazir Win bet slip for IND vs SL
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 70%
Banker
risk
Match result
India to win
Our most likely outcome. If the bookmaker's price is shorter than 1.43, the value has gone.
- 60%
Smart value
risk
India first-innings total
Over 200.5
Our projection sits near 212, comfortably clear of 200.5, so a slow start can still land it.
- 24%
Wildcard
risk
Top team batter
Rohit Sharma (India)
Best finisher in the side. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.
Who can swing India vs Sri Lanka?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
India
Mohammed Shami85
Our pick for overs 17-20
Rohit Sharma90
Best finisher in the side
Sri Lanka
Dilshan Madushanka92
Our pick for overs 17-20
Angelo Mathews88
Useful with bat and ball
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before the first ball.
If Mohammed Shami is left out
We would trim India by around five points, turning this into a strong lean.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs mean more randomness, which helps the underdog.
The story of India vs Sri Lanka
This is the last fixture of Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026, so nobody is holding anything back. India come in at 70% because their batting and bowling both match these balanced, dry conditions a little better. India play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. Sri Lanka's route to an upset runs through the first hour: get on top early and the 30% chance we give them starts to look generous.
On the toss: Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this surface.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar check: 3rd T20I
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026.
Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium in Pune hosts the 3rd T20I on Sun, 27 Dec 2026: fixture 6 of 6 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 2nd T20I, was played 3 days before this one at Barabati Stadium in Cuttack, which means a travel day to Pune in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.
No fixtures follow in this series, so expect both sides to pick their best available XI.
- 24 Dec2nd T20I: India vs Sri LankaBarabati Stadium
- 27 Dec3rd T20I: India vs Sri LankaMaharashtra Cricket Association Stadium
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FAQ · 9
IND vs SL 3rd T20I: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win India vs Sri Lanka?
Wazir Win predicts India, with a 70% win chance against 30% for Sri Lanka. We class that as a strong lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry pitch at Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium should play.
What are fair odds for India in the IND vs SL 3rd T20I?
Our 70% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.43 for India and 3.33 for Sri Lanka. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.
When does the IND vs SL 3rd T20I start in IST?
It is scheduled for Sun, 27 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST at Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Pune. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.
How will the pitch play at Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium?
We read it as balanced, dry, which should favour neither side. An even contest is on the cards. Expect phase scores close to the format average, with the better-executing side winning out.
What should the captain do at the toss in IND vs SL?
Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this surface. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What would it take for Sri Lanka to win?
Sri Lanka need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 30%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if India change their best XI.
India vs Sri Lanka mein kiski jeet pakki hai?
Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein India ka palda bhaari hai: 70% chance, Sri Lanka ka 30%. Match Sun, 27 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Pune ki pitch kaisi rahegi?
Humari report ke hisaab se pitch balanced, dry hai, yaani bat aur ball mein barabar ki takkar hai. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
What totals does Wazir Win project for India vs Sri Lanka?
India 195-229 and Sri Lanka 167-201 in the first-innings total, with the biggest scoring burst expected in middle overs (7-15).
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.