Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026 · match 2 of 6

India vs Sri Lanka 2nd ODI prediction

By Wazir Win Cricket Desk, match analysisUpdated
74%Our pick
India
Strong lean

19:30

India time

Wed, 16 Dec 2026

M. Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru

Fair odds for the pick 1.35

26%Win chance
Sri Lanka

In 30 seconds

  1. India at 74%: a strong lean (fair odds 1.35).
  2. Balanced pitch; India projected to post the bigger total.
  3. India have home conditions on their side.
Wazir Win pick
India
Format
ODI · 50 overs
Pitch
balanced, dry
Favours
Balanced

Who wins the IND vs SL 2nd ODI?

Back India to win the IND vs SL 2nd ODI. Wazir Win rates their chance at 74% (strong lean), with Sri Lanka on 26%. Projected totals: India 339, Sri Lanka 310. Conditions at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium should favour neither side. First ball: Wed, 16 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST.

What will decide it?

The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.

  1. Surface read

    Edge: Even

    An even contest is on the cards. Expect phase scores close to the format average, with the better-executing side winning out. Neither attack should be specially advantaged.

  2. Run-scoring edge

    Edge: India

    There is a 29-run cushion in India's favour on our projection, the single biggest reason the model leans their way.

  3. Series pressure

    Edge: India

    A win here gives India control with 4 matches left, and losing would hand Sri Lanka momentum.

How many will India and Sri Lanka score?

Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a balanced, dry surface at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium.

Powerplay (0-10)

Middle Overs (11-40)

Death Overs (41-50)

India Sri LankaInnings: IND 316-362 · SL 287-333

The Wazir Win bet slip for IND vs SL

Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.

  1. Banker

    risk

    74%

    Match result

    India to win

    Our most likely outcome. If the bookmaker's price is shorter than 1.35, the value has gone.

  2. Smart value

    risk

    56%

    India first-innings total

    Over 324.5

    Our projection sits near 339, comfortably clear of 324.5, so a slow start can still land it.

  3. Wildcard

    risk

    24%

    Top team batter

    Virat Kohli (India)

    Steady hand in a chase. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.

Who can swing India vs Sri Lanka?

Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.

India

  • Virat Kohli82

    Steady hand in a chase

  • Mohammed Shami93

    Trusted at the end of the innings

Sri Lanka

  • Matheesha Pathirana95

    Trusted at the end of the innings

  • Maheesh Theekshana86

    Takes wickets through the middle

What would change our mind?

The developments we would react to before the first ball.

  • If Virat Kohli is left out

    We would trim India by around five points, turning this into a strong lean.

  • If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss

    More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting line-ups.

  • If rain shortens the match

    Fewer overs mean more randomness, which helps the underdog.

The story of India vs Sri Lanka

With 4 games of Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026 still to follow, this match 2 can tilt the series. India come in at 74% because their batting and bowling both match these balanced, dry conditions a little better. India play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. Sri Lanka are far from out of it at 26%, but they will need their best players to deliver at the same time.

On the toss: Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this surface.

Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.

Calendar check: 2nd ODI

Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026.

M. Chinnaswamy Stadium in Bengaluru hosts the 2nd ODI on Wed, 16 Dec 2026: fixture 2 of 6 in the series.

The previous fixture, the 1st ODI, was played 3 days before this one at Arun Jaitley Stadium in Delhi, which means a travel day to Bengaluru in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.

Up next: the 3rd ODI, 3 days after this match at Narendra Modi Stadium in Ahmedabad.

Also at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium on the Wazir Win calendar: 5th T20I: India vs West Indies (17 Oct) (1 fixture in all).

  1. 13 Dec1st ODI: India vs Sri LankaArun Jaitley Stadium
  2. 16 Dec2nd ODI: India vs Sri LankaM. Chinnaswamy Stadium
  3. 19 Dec3rd ODI: India vs Sri LankaNarendra Modi Stadium
  1. 19 Dec3rd ODI: India vs Sri LankaSri Lanka tour of India, 2026Open dossier
  2. 21 Dec1st T20I: India vs Sri LankaSri Lanka tour of India, 2026Open dossier
  3. 24 Dec2nd T20I: India vs Sri LankaSri Lanka tour of India, 2026Open dossier
  4. 27 Dec3rd T20I: India vs Sri LankaSri Lanka tour of India, 2026Open dossier

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FAQ · 9

IND vs SL 2nd ODI: your questions answered

Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.

Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team

Who is predicted to win India vs Sri Lanka?

Wazir Win predicts India, with a 74% win chance against 26% for Sri Lanka. We class that as a strong lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry pitch at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium should play.

What are fair odds for India in the IND vs SL 2nd ODI?

Our 74% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.35 for India and 3.85 for Sri Lanka. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.

When does the IND vs SL 2nd ODI start in IST?

It is scheduled for Wed, 16 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.

How will the pitch play at M. Chinnaswamy Stadium?

We read it as balanced, dry, which should favour neither side. An even contest is on the cards. Expect phase scores close to the format average, with the better-executing side winning out.

What should the captain do at the toss in IND vs SL?

Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this surface. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.

What would it take for Sri Lanka to win?

Sri Lanka need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 26%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if India change their best XI.

India vs Sri Lanka mein kiski jeet pakki hai?

Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein India ka palda bhaari hai: 74% chance, Sri Lanka ka 26%. Match Wed, 16 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Bengaluru ki pitch kaisi rahegi?

Humari report ke hisaab se pitch balanced, dry hai, yaani bat aur ball mein barabar ki takkar hai. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.

What happens to bets if rain affects IND vs SL?

Reduced overs bring in DLS targets, and too few overs means a no-result. Each bookmaker's rules decide which markets stand. Check the Bengaluru forecast before you play.

Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.