Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026 · match 5 of 6
India vs Sri Lanka 2nd T20I prediction
19:30
India time
Thu, 24 Dec 2026
Barabati Stadium, Cuttack
Fair odds for the pick 1.41
In 30 seconds
- India at 71%: a strong lean (fair odds 1.41).
- Balanced pitch; India projected to post the bigger total.
- India have home conditions on their side.
- Wazir Win pick
- India
- Format
- T20 International
- Pitch
- balanced, dry
- Favours
- Balanced
Who wins the IND vs SL 2nd T20I?
Strong lean: India. Our model makes them 71% favourites for the 2nd T20I against Sri Lanka at Barabati Stadium, a fair price of 1.41. We project India for 213 and Sri Lanka for 192 on a pitch that favours neither side. Start: Thu, 24 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.
Surface read
Edge: Even
A middle-of-the-road pitch with a little for everyone, so phase totals should land near the usual numbers for the format. Neither attack should be specially advantaged.
Run-scoring edge
Edge: India
India project about 21 runs higher in the first-innings total. Over a T20I, a gap like that turns tight games into comfortable ones.
Series pressure
Edge: India
A win here gives India control with 1 match left, and losing would hand Sri Lanka momentum.
How many will India and Sri Lanka score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a balanced, dry surface at Barabati Stadium.
Powerplay (0-6)
Middle Overs (7-15)
Death Overs (16-20)
The Wazir Win bet slip for IND vs SL
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 71%
Banker
risk
Match result
India to win
The model's headline call. Only worth it at odds of 1.41 or longer.
- 62%
Smart value
risk
India first-innings total
Over 203.5
A 203.5 line leaves a buffer of roughly 9 runs against our 213 projection.
- 23%
Wildcard
risk
Top team batter
Shubman Gill (India)
Sets the early scoring rate. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.
Who can swing India vs Sri Lanka?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
India
Shubman Gill89
Sets the early scoring rate
KL Rahul95
Goes hard in the first six
Sri Lanka
Dilshan Madushanka86
Our pick for overs 17-20
Sadeera Samarawickrama89
Goes hard in the first six
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before the first ball.
If Shubman Gill is left out
We would trim India by around five points, turning this into a strong lean.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs mean more randomness, which helps the underdog.
The story of India vs Sri Lanka
Match 5 of 6 is where Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026 starts to take shape. India come in at 71% because their batting and bowling both match these balanced, dry conditions a little better. India play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. For Sri Lanka to win, they need early wickets or one innings of real substance; anything less and the favourites should control it.
On the toss: Both options are sound. Expect captains to go with their usual preference.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar check: 2nd T20I
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in Sri Lanka tour of India, 2026.
Barabati Stadium in Cuttack hosts the 2nd T20I on Thu, 24 Dec 2026: fixture 5 of 6 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 1st T20I, was played 3 days before this one at Niranjan Shah Stadium in Rajkot, which means a travel day to Cuttack in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.
Up next: the 3rd T20I, 3 days after this match at Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium in Pune.
- 21 Dec1st T20I: India vs Sri LankaNiranjan Shah Stadium
- 24 Dec2nd T20I: India vs Sri LankaBarabati Stadium
- 27 Dec3rd T20I: India vs Sri LankaMaharashtra Cricket Association Stadium
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FAQ · 9
IND vs SL 2nd T20I: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win India vs Sri Lanka?
Wazir Win predicts India, with a 71% win chance against 29% for Sri Lanka. We class that as a strong lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry pitch at Barabati Stadium should play.
What are fair odds for India in the IND vs SL 2nd T20I?
Our 71% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.41 for India and 3.45 for Sri Lanka. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.
When does the IND vs SL 2nd T20I start in IST?
It is scheduled for Thu, 24 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST at Barabati Stadium, Cuttack. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.
How will the pitch play at Barabati Stadium?
We read it as balanced, dry, which should favour neither side. A middle-of-the-road pitch with a little for everyone, so phase totals should land near the usual numbers for the format.
What should the captain do at the toss in IND vs SL?
Both options are sound. Expect captains to go with their usual preference. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What would it take for Sri Lanka to win?
Sri Lanka need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 29%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if India change their best XI.
India vs Sri Lanka mein kiski jeet pakki hai?
Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein India ka palda bhaari hai: 71% chance, Sri Lanka ka 29%. Match Thu, 24 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Cuttack ki pitch kaisi rahegi?
Humari report ke hisaab se pitch balanced, dry hai, yaani bat aur ball mein barabar ki takkar hai. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
What totals does Wazir Win project for India vs Sri Lanka?
India 198-228 and Sri Lanka 175-209 in the first-innings total, with the biggest scoring burst expected in middle overs (7-15).
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.