Premier League 2026/27

Manchester United vs Everton prediction

By Wazir Win Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated
65%Our pick
Manchester United
Strong lean

20:30

India time

Sat, 13 Mar 2027 · 15:00 UK

Old Trafford, Manchester

Draw 20%

Fair odds for the pick 1.54

15%Win chance
Everton

In 30 seconds

  1. Man Utd 65%, draw 20%, Everton 15%: a strong lean.
  2. Predicted score 2-0; goals expected (2.9 xG).
  3. Both teams to score: 50%.
Predicted score
2-0
Wazir Win pick
Man Utd
UK broadcast
Not televised yet
Projected cards
3.5-4.5

Who wins Man Utd vs Everton?

Strong lean: Manchester United. The Wazir Win goals model rates them 65% to win (fair odds 1.54), with the draw at 20%. We expect 2.9 goals and a 2-0 scoreline. Kick-off: Sat, 13 Mar 2027, 20:30 IST at Old Trafford.

What will decide it?

Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.

  1. Home edge

    Edge: Man Utd

    Man Utd are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.

  2. Goal expectancy

    Edge: Goals

    2.9 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 55% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Quality gap

    Edge: Man Utd

    Man Utd rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 20%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.

How many goals in Man Utd vs Everton?

Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Expected goals
2.03 – 0.85
Half-time call
0-0

The Wazir Win bet slip for Man Utd vs Everton

Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.

  1. Banker

    risk

    81%

    Draw no bet

    Man Utd

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Everton win beats it.

  2. Smart value

    risk

    55%

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    2.9 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

  3. Wildcard

    risk

    12%

    Correct score

    Man Utd 2-0 Everton

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.

How do the two teams set up?

Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Manchester United

Man Utd combine structure with enough quality in the final third to punish mistakes at Old Trafford. Midfield control is their foundation.

Away

Everton

Everton are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball on their trip to Old Trafford, but short of the creativity to dominate.

What would change our mind?

The developments we would react to before kick-off.

  • If Man Utd name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.

  • If Everton score first

    The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.

The story of Man Utd vs Everton

Manchester United take on Everton in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Man Utd's way. The gap in expected goals (2.03 for Man Utd, 0.85 for Everton) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 65% for Man Utd. Everton's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.

Calendar check: Man Utd and Everton

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Man Utd play 10 days after their game away at Sunderland on 03 Mar. After this, they go away at Man City 7 days after this one. League game 29 of 38.

Everton play 10 days after their game away at Man City on 03 Mar. After this, they go at home to Spurs 7 days after this one. League game 29 of 38.

These sides already met at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Sun, 06 Sept 2026, making this the return fixture.

  1. 03 MarSunderland vs Man UtdStadium of Light
  2. 03 MarMan City vs EvertonEtihad Stadium
  3. 13 MarMan Utd vs EvertonOld Trafford
  4. 20 MarMan City vs Man UtdEtihad Stadium
  5. 20 MarEverton vs SpursHill Dickinson Stadium
  1. 20 MarManchester City vs Manchester UnitedPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  2. 10 AprManchester United vs Hull CityPremier League · 19:30 ISTOpen dossier
  3. 20 MarEverton vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  4. 10 AprCrystal Palace vs EvertonPremier League · 19:30 ISTOpen dossier
  5. 13 MarAFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  6. 13 MarAston Villa vs Hull CityPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier

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FAQ · 8

Manchester United vs Everton: your questions answered

Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.

Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team

Who is predicted to win Man Utd vs Everton?

Wazir Win predicts Manchester United. Our goals model gives Man Utd 65%, the draw 20% and Everton 15%, which we class as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs Everton?

Our likeliest scoreline is 2-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 12%.

What are fair odds for Man Utd vs Everton?

On our numbers: Man Utd 1.54, draw 5.00, Everton 6.67. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.

What time does Manchester United vs Everton kick off in India?

20:30 IST India time on Sat, 13 Mar 2027 (15:00 UK), at Old Trafford in Manchester. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.

Man Utd vs Everton mein kaun jeetega?

Wazir Win ke goals model mein Manchester United aage hain: Man Utd 65%, draw 20%, Everton 15%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Man Utd vs Everton?

We put both teams to score at 50%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 55%.

What would make Everton win?

An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Man Utd's attack. We give Everton 15%.

Where can I watch Man Utd vs Everton?

Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.