India tour of New Zealand, 2026 · match 12 of 12
New Zealand vs India 2nd Test prediction
19:30
India time
Mon, 30 Nov 2026
Hagley Oval, Christchurch
Fair odds for the pick 1.92
In 30 seconds
- New Zealand at 52%: a slight lean (fair odds 1.92).
- Pitch suits seamers; India projected to post the bigger total.
- New Zealand have home conditions on their side.
- Wazir Win pick
- New Zealand
- Format
- Test match
- Pitch
- green, seam-friendly
- Favours
- Seamers
Who wins the NZ vs IND 2nd Test?
New Zealand take this one on our numbers: 52% to 48% over India, which is a slight lean. Expect 277 from New Zealand and 281 from India at Hagley Oval, where the quicks should hold the upper hand. Play starts Mon, 30 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.
Surface read
Edge: New Zealand
A bowler-friendly start: hit the seam and the edges will come. Top orders that leave well outside off stump will be rewarded. New Zealand are used to exactly this kind of pitch.
Toss call
Edge: Toss winner
Put the opposition in: the early help is too good to waste.
Batting parity
Edge: Even
Only 4 runs split the projected totals, so this is close to a dead heat with the bat. One big individual innings is the likeliest tiebreaker.
How many will New Zealand and India score?
Projected session-by-session runs on day one, on a green, seam-friendly surface at Hagley Oval.
Session 1
Session 2
Session 3
The Wazir Win bet slip for NZ vs IND
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 52%
Banker
risk
Match result
New Zealand to win
The model's headline call. Only worth it at odds of 1.92 or longer.
- 57%
Smart value
risk
New Zealand day-one total
Over 260.5
A 260.5 line leaves a buffer of roughly 16 runs against our 277 projection.
- 48%
Wildcard
risk
Match result
India to win
The upset needs a special performance from someone like Mohammed Siraj.
Who can swing New Zealand vs India?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
New Zealand
Matt Henry80
Dangerous with the new ball
Rachin Ravindra82
Gives the side a fifth bowler
India
Mohammed Siraj88
Dangerous with the new ball
Rohit Sharma85
Turns fifties into hundreds
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before the first ball.
If Matt Henry is left out
We would trim New Zealand by around five points, turning this into a coin flip.
If India win the toss
On a pitch where the toss matters, that alone moves a couple of points India's way.
If rain takes out a day or more
The draw becomes the likeliest result and our win call loses most of its value.
The story of New Zealand vs India
India tour of New Zealand, 2026 ends here, which means full-strength line-ups and no saving players for later. Our read is that New Zealand have the stronger unit for a green, seam-friendly Test pitch, and the model reflects that at 52%. New Zealand play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. India's route to an upset runs through the first hour: get on top early and the 48% chance we give them starts to look generous.
On the toss: Put the opposition in: the early help is too good to waste.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar check: 2nd Test
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in India tour of New Zealand, 2026.
Hagley Oval in Christchurch hosts the 2nd Test on Mon, 30 Nov 2026: fixture 12 of 12 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 1st Test, was played 4 days before this one at Basin Reserve in Wellington, which means a travel day to Christchurch in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.
No fixtures follow in this series, so expect both sides to pick their best available XI.
Also at Hagley Oval on the Wazir Win calendar: 1st T20I: New Zealand vs India (22 Oct), 2nd T20I: New Zealand vs India (26 Oct), 1st T20I: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka (29 Jan) (3 fixtures in all).
- 26 Nov1st Test: New Zealand vs IndiaBasin Reserve
- 30 Nov2nd Test: New Zealand vs IndiaHagley Oval
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FAQ · 9
NZ vs IND 2nd Test: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win New Zealand vs India?
Wazir Win predicts New Zealand, with a 52% win chance against 48% for India. We class that as a slight lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a green, seam-friendly pitch at Hagley Oval should play.
What are fair odds for New Zealand in the NZ vs IND 2nd Test?
Our 52% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.92 for New Zealand and 2.08 for India. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.
When does the NZ vs IND 2nd Test start in IST?
It is scheduled for Mon, 30 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST at Hagley Oval, Christchurch. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.
How will the pitch play at Hagley Oval?
We read it as green, seam-friendly, which should favour the quicks. A bowler-friendly start: hit the seam and the edges will come. Top orders that leave well outside off stump will be rewarded.
What should the captain do at the toss in NZ vs IND?
Put the opposition in: the early help is too good to waste. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What would it take for India to win?
India need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 48%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if New Zealand change their best XI.
New Zealand vs India mein kiski jeet pakki hai?
Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein New Zealand ka palda bhaari hai: 52% chance, India ka 48%. Match Mon, 30 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Christchurch ki pitch kaisi rahegi?
Humari report ke hisaab se pitch green, seam-friendly hai, yaani tez gendbazon ko shuruaat mein madad milegi. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
What happens to bets if rain affects NZ vs IND?
Lost days push a Test towards a draw. Match-result bets usually stand, while session markets for overs never bowled are void. Check the Christchurch forecast before you play.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.