India tour of New Zealand, 2026 · match 6 of 12
New Zealand vs India 1st ODI prediction
19:30
India time
Mon, 09 Nov 2026
Eden Park, Auckland
Fair odds for the pick 1.92
In 30 seconds
- India at 52%: a slight lean (fair odds 1.92).
- Balanced pitch; India projected to post the bigger total.
- New Zealand have home conditions on their side.
- Wazir Win pick
- India
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- balanced, dry
- Favours
- Balanced
Who wins the NZ vs IND 1st ODI?
Back India to win the NZ vs IND 1st ODI. Wazir Win rates their chance at 52% (slight lean), with New Zealand on 48%. Projected totals: New Zealand 328, India 336. Conditions at Eden Park should favour neither side. First ball: Mon, 09 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.
Surface read
Edge: Even
A middle-of-the-road pitch with a little for everyone, so phase totals should land near the usual numbers for the format. Neither attack should be specially advantaged.
Series pressure
Edge: India
A win here gives India control with 6 matches left, and losing would hand New Zealand momentum.
Batting parity
Edge: Even
Only 8 runs split the projected totals, so this is close to a dead heat with the bat. One big individual innings is the likeliest tiebreaker.
How many will New Zealand and India score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a balanced, dry surface at Eden Park.
Powerplay (0-10)
Middle Overs (11-40)
Death Overs (41-50)
The Wazir Win bet slip for NZ vs IND
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 52%
Banker
risk
Match result
India to win
The model's headline call. Only worth it at odds of 1.92 or longer.
- 58%
Smart value
risk
New Zealand first-innings total
Over 312.5
A 312.5 line leaves a buffer of roughly 15 runs against our 328 projection.
- 19%
Wildcard
risk
Top team batter
Ravindra Jadeja (India)
Balances the XI. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.
Who can swing New Zealand vs India?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
New Zealand
Rachin Ravindra80
Balances the XI
Finn Allen85
Fast starter at the top
India
Ravindra Jadeja94
Balances the XI
Mohammed Siraj97
Trusted at the end of the innings
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before the first ball.
If Ravindra Jadeja is left out
We would trim India by around five points, turning this into a coin flip.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs mean more randomness, which helps the underdog.
The story of New Zealand vs India
Match 6 of 12 is where India tour of New Zealand, 2026 starts to take shape. India come in at 52% because their batting and bowling both match these balanced, dry conditions a little better. New Zealand play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. New Zealand's route to an upset runs through the first hour: get on top early and the 48% chance we give them starts to look generous.
On the toss: Both options are sound. Expect captains to go with their usual preference.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar check: 1st ODI
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in India tour of New Zealand, 2026.
Eden Park in Auckland hosts the 1st ODI on Mon, 09 Nov 2026: fixture 6 of 12 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 5th T20I, was played 4 days before this one at Seddon Park in Hamilton, which means a travel day to Auckland in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.
Up next: the 2nd ODI, 3 days after this match at Sky Stadium in Wellington.
Also at Eden Park on the Wazir Win calendar: 4th T20I: New Zealand vs India (02 Nov) (1 fixture in all).
- 05 Nov5th T20I: New Zealand vs IndiaSeddon Park
- 09 Nov1st ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaEden Park
- 12 Nov2nd ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaSky Stadium
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FAQ · 9
NZ vs IND 1st ODI: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win New Zealand vs India?
Wazir Win predicts India, with a 52% win chance against 48% for New Zealand. We class that as a slight lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry pitch at Eden Park should play.
What are fair odds for India in the NZ vs IND 1st ODI?
Our 52% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.92 for India and 2.08 for New Zealand. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.
When does the NZ vs IND 1st ODI start in IST?
It is scheduled for Mon, 09 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST at Eden Park, Auckland. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.
How will the pitch play at Eden Park?
We read it as balanced, dry, which should favour neither side. A middle-of-the-road pitch with a little for everyone, so phase totals should land near the usual numbers for the format.
What should the captain do at the toss in NZ vs IND?
Both options are sound. Expect captains to go with their usual preference. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What would it take for New Zealand to win?
New Zealand need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 48%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if India change their best XI.
New Zealand vs India mein kiski jeet pakki hai?
Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein India ka palda bhaari hai: 52% chance, New Zealand ka 48%. Match Mon, 09 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Auckland ki pitch kaisi rahegi?
Humari report ke hisaab se pitch balanced, dry hai, yaani bat aur ball mein barabar ki takkar hai. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
How accurate are Wazir Win cricket predictions?
Every number is a probability. A 52% favourite should still lose about 48 times in 100, so use our call as one input and set a budget before you play.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.