New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27 · match 2 of 4
Australia vs New Zealand 2nd Test prediction
19:30
India time
Sat, 19 Dec 2026
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Fair odds for the pick 1.59
In 30 seconds
- Australia at 63%: a strong lean (fair odds 1.59).
- Pitch suits batters; Australia projected to post the bigger total.
- Australia have home conditions on their side.
- Wazir Win pick
- Australia
- Format
- Test match
- Pitch
- flat, batter-friendly
- Favours
- Batters
Who wins the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test?
Back Australia to win the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test. Wazir Win rates their chance at 63% (strong lean), with New Zealand on 37%. Projected totals: Australia 290, New Zealand 275. Conditions at Adelaide Oval should favour the batters. First ball: Sat, 19 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.
Surface read
Edge: Even
Hard, even and quick, with short boundaries and a rapid outfield. Defend a below-par total here and you are in trouble. Both sides will lean on the batters, so the deeper attack matters.
Series pressure
Edge: Australia
A win here gives Australia control with 2 matches left, and losing would hand New Zealand momentum.
Run-scoring edge
Edge: Australia
Australia project about 15 runs higher in the day-one total. Over a Test, a gap like that turns tight games into comfortable ones.
How many will Australia and New Zealand score?
Projected session-by-session runs on day one, on a flat, batter-friendly surface at Adelaide Oval.
Session 1
Session 2
Session 3
The Wazir Win bet slip for AUS vs NZ
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 63%
Banker
risk
Match result
Australia to win
The model's headline call. Only worth it at odds of 1.59 or longer.
- 59%
Smart value
risk
Australia day-one total
Over 275.5
A 275.5 line leaves a buffer of roughly 14 runs against our 290 projection.
- 25%
Wildcard
risk
Top team batter
Steve Smith (Australia)
Turns fifties into hundreds. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.
Who can swing Australia vs New Zealand?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Australia
Mitchell Starc87
Hits the deck hard
Steve Smith94
Turns fifties into hundreds
New Zealand
Matt Henry85
Hits the deck hard
Finn Allen94
Turns fifties into hundreds
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before the first ball.
If Mitchell Starc is left out
We would trim Australia by around five points, turning this into a clear lean.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain takes out a day or more
The draw becomes the likeliest result and our win call loses most of its value.
The story of Australia vs New Zealand
Match 2 of 4 is where New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27 starts to take shape. Australia come in at 63% because their batting and bowling both match these flat, batter-friendly conditions a little better. Australia play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. New Zealand are far from out of it at 37%, but they will need their best players to deliver at the same time.
On the toss: The toss is close to irrelevant. Both sides will back themselves to score heavily either way.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar check: 2nd Test
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27.
Adelaide Oval in Adelaide hosts the 2nd Test on Sat, 19 Dec 2026: fixture 2 of 4 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 1st Test, was played 10 days before this one at Perth Stadium in Perth, which means a travel day to Adelaide in between. A long break resets both camps, so the last game's momentum carries less weight than usual.
Up next: the 3rd Test, 10 days after this match at Melbourne Cricket Ground in Melbourne.
Also at Adelaide Oval on the Wazir Win calendar: 2nd ODI: Australia vs England (15 Nov) (1 fixture in all).
- 09 Dec1st Test: Australia vs New ZealandPerth Stadium
- 19 Dec2nd Test: Australia vs New ZealandAdelaide Oval
- 29 Dec3rd Test: Australia vs New ZealandMelbourne Cricket Ground
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FAQ · 9
AUS vs NZ 2nd Test: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Australia vs New Zealand?
Wazir Win predicts Australia, with a 63% win chance against 37% for New Zealand. We class that as a strong lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, batter-friendly pitch at Adelaide Oval should play.
What are fair odds for Australia in the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test?
Our 63% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.59 for Australia and 2.70 for New Zealand. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.
When does the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test start in IST?
It is scheduled for Sat, 19 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.
How will the pitch play at Adelaide Oval?
We read it as flat, batter-friendly, which should favour the batters. Hard, even and quick, with short boundaries and a rapid outfield. Defend a below-par total here and you are in trouble.
What should the captain do at the toss in AUS vs NZ?
The toss is close to irrelevant. Both sides will back themselves to score heavily either way. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What would it take for New Zealand to win?
New Zealand need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 37%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if Australia change their best XI.
Australia vs New Zealand mein kiski jeet pakki hai?
Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein Australia ka palda bhaari hai: 63% chance, New Zealand ka 37%. Match Sat, 19 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Adelaide ki pitch kaisi rahegi?
Humari report ke hisaab se pitch flat, batter-friendly hai, yaani ballebazon ke liye pitch achhi hai, bada score sambhav hai. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
Is it legal to bet on AUS vs NZ in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.