Australia vs England 150th Anniversary One-off Test, 2027 · match 1 of 1
Australia vs England One-off Test prediction
19:30
India time
Thu, 11 Mar 2027
Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne
Fair odds for the pick 1.92
In 30 seconds
- England at 52%: a slight lean (fair odds 1.92).
- Pitch suits batters; Australia projected to post the bigger total.
- Neutral venue, so adaptability decides more than familiarity.
- Wazir Win pick
- England
- Format
- Test match
- Pitch
- flat, batter-friendly
- Favours
- Batters
Who wins the AUS vs ENG One-off Test?
Back England to win the AUS vs ENG One-off Test. Wazir Win rates their chance at 52% (slight lean), with Australia on 48%. Projected totals: Australia 283, England 280. Conditions at Melbourne Cricket Ground should favour the batters. First ball: Thu, 11 Mar 2027, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.
Surface read
Edge: Even
A run-fest pitch: true bounce, good carry and little sideways movement. Death bowling and cutters will decide how big the totals get. Both sides will lean on the batters, so the deeper attack matters.
Toss call
Edge: Even
Neither batting nor bowling first offers a real edge when the pitch stays this good.
Batting parity
Edge: Even
The batting units grade out almost identically (3 runs apart). Look to the bowlers and the toss for the separation.
How many will Australia and England score?
Projected session-by-session runs on day one, on a flat, batter-friendly surface at Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Session 1
Session 2
Session 3
The Wazir Win bet slip for AUS vs ENG
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 52%
Banker
risk
Match result
England to win
Our most likely outcome. If the bookmaker's price is shorter than 1.92, the value has gone.
- 62%
Smart value
risk
Australia day-one total
Over 268.5
Our projection sits near 283, comfortably clear of 268.5, so a slow start can still land it.
- 20%
Wildcard
risk
Top team batter
Phil Salt (England)
Built for long innings. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.
Who can swing Australia vs England?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Australia
Mitchell Starc87
Hits the deck hard
Alex Carey95
Valuable runs at number seven
England
Phil Salt86
Built for long innings
Reece Topley96
Hits the deck hard
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before the first ball.
If Phil Salt is left out
We would trim England by around five points, turning this into a coin flip.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain takes out a day or more
The draw becomes the likeliest result and our win call loses most of its value.
The story of Australia vs England
This is a one-off fixture, so there is no series to manage and no second chance: both sides will go full strength. The model leans to England at 52%, mostly on squad quality and how Melbourne Cricket Ground has played in recent seasons. Neither side is at home, so the team that adjusts to Melbourne Cricket Ground faster will have the edge. Australia's route to an upset runs through the first hour: get on top early and the 48% chance we give them starts to look generous.
On the toss: Neither batting nor bowling first offers a real edge when the pitch stays this good.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar check: One-off Test
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in Australia vs England 150th Anniversary One-off Test, 2027.
Melbourne Cricket Ground in Melbourne hosts this one-off Test on Thu, 11 Mar 2027.
Also at Melbourne Cricket Ground on the Wazir Win calendar: 1st T20I: Australia vs England (21 Nov), 3rd Test: Australia vs New Zealand (29 Dec) (2 fixtures in all).
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FAQ · 9
AUS vs ENG One-off Test: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Australia vs England?
Wazir Win predicts England, with a 52% win chance against 48% for Australia. We class that as a slight lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, batter-friendly pitch at Melbourne Cricket Ground should play.
What are fair odds for England in the AUS vs ENG One-off Test?
Our 52% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.92 for England and 2.08 for Australia. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.
When does the AUS vs ENG One-off Test start in IST?
It is scheduled for Thu, 11 Mar 2027, 19:30 IST at Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.
How will the pitch play at Melbourne Cricket Ground?
We read it as flat, batter-friendly, which should favour the batters. A run-fest pitch: true bounce, good carry and little sideways movement. Death bowling and cutters will decide how big the totals get.
What should the captain do at the toss in AUS vs ENG?
Neither batting nor bowling first offers a real edge when the pitch stays this good. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What would it take for Australia to win?
Australia need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 48%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if England change their best XI.
Australia vs England mein kiski jeet pakki hai?
Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein England ka palda bhaari hai: 52% chance, Australia ka 48%. Match Thu, 11 Mar 2027, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Melbourne ki pitch kaisi rahegi?
Humari report ke hisaab se pitch flat, batter-friendly hai, yaani ballebazon ke liye pitch achhi hai, bada score sambhav hai. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
How accurate are Wazir Win cricket predictions?
Every number is a probability. A 52% favourite should still lose about 48 times in 100, so use our call as one input and set a budget before you play.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.