Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027 · match 8 of 8
New Zealand vs Sri Lanka 2nd Test prediction
19:30
India time
Tue, 16 Feb 2027
Seddon Park, Hamilton
Fair odds for the pick 1.47
In 30 seconds
- New Zealand at 68%: a strong lean (fair odds 1.47).
- Balanced pitch; New Zealand projected to post the bigger total.
- New Zealand have home conditions on their side.
- Wazir Win pick
- New Zealand
- Format
- Test match
- Pitch
- balanced, dry
- Favours
- Balanced
Who wins the NZ vs SL 2nd Test?
New Zealand take this one on our numbers: 68% to 32% over Sri Lanka, which is a strong lean. Expect 270 from New Zealand and 241 from Sri Lanka at Seddon Park, where neither side should hold the upper hand. Play starts Tue, 16 Feb 2027, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.
Surface read
Edge: Even
Nothing extreme in the surface: bowlers who hit a length will be rewarded, and so will batters who are patient early. Neither attack should be specially advantaged.
Run-scoring edge
Edge: New Zealand
There is a 29-run cushion in New Zealand's favour on our projection, the single biggest reason the model leans their way.
Toss call
Edge: Even
Both options are sound. Expect captains to go with their usual preference.
How many will New Zealand and Sri Lanka score?
Projected session-by-session runs on day one, on a balanced, dry surface at Seddon Park.
Session 1
Session 2
Session 3
The Wazir Win bet slip for NZ vs SL
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 68%
Banker
risk
Match result
New Zealand to win
Our most likely outcome. If the bookmaker's price is shorter than 1.47, the value has gone.
- 58%
Smart value
risk
New Zealand day-one total
Over 255.5
Our projection sits near 270, comfortably clear of 255.5, so a slow start can still land it.
- 18%
Wildcard
risk
Top team batter
Glenn Phillips (New Zealand)
Built for long innings. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.
Who can swing New Zealand vs Sri Lanka?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
New Zealand
Glenn Phillips90
Built for long innings
Lockie Ferguson94
Hits the deck hard
Sri Lanka
Pathum Nissanka85
Built for long innings
Angelo Mathews88
Gives the side a fifth bowler
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before the first ball.
If Glenn Phillips is left out
We would trim New Zealand by around five points, turning this into a strong lean.
If the pitch looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting line-ups.
If rain takes out a day or more
The draw becomes the likeliest result and our win call loses most of its value.
The story of New Zealand vs Sri Lanka
This is the last fixture of Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027, so nobody is holding anything back. New Zealand come in at 68% because their batting and bowling both match these balanced, dry conditions a little better. New Zealand play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. Sri Lanka are far from out of it at 32%, but they will need their best players to deliver at the same time.
On the toss: Both options are sound. Expect captains to go with their usual preference.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar check: 2nd Test
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027.
Seddon Park in Hamilton hosts the 2nd Test on Tue, 16 Feb 2027: fixture 8 of 8 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 1st Test, was played 4 days before this one at Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui, which means a travel day to Hamilton in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.
No fixtures follow in this series, so expect both sides to pick their best available XI.
Also at Seddon Park on the Wazir Win calendar: 5th T20I: New Zealand vs India (05 Nov), 3rd ODI: New Zealand vs India (16 Nov) (2 fixtures in all).
- 12 Feb1st Test: New Zealand vs Sri LankaBay Oval
- 16 Feb2nd Test: New Zealand vs Sri LankaSeddon Park
More cricket dossiers
Ready when you are
Follow this match with your Wazir Win ID
18+ only. Set a budget first and play responsibly.
FAQ · 9
NZ vs SL 2nd Test: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win New Zealand vs Sri Lanka?
Wazir Win predicts New Zealand, with a 68% win chance against 32% for Sri Lanka. We class that as a strong lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry pitch at Seddon Park should play.
What are fair odds for New Zealand in the NZ vs SL 2nd Test?
Our 68% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.47 for New Zealand and 3.13 for Sri Lanka. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.
When does the NZ vs SL 2nd Test start in IST?
It is scheduled for Tue, 16 Feb 2027, 19:30 IST at Seddon Park, Hamilton. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.
How will the pitch play at Seddon Park?
We read it as balanced, dry, which should favour neither side. Nothing extreme in the surface: bowlers who hit a length will be rewarded, and so will batters who are patient early.
What should the captain do at the toss in NZ vs SL?
Both options are sound. Expect captains to go with their usual preference. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What would it take for Sri Lanka to win?
Sri Lanka need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 32%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if New Zealand change their best XI.
New Zealand vs Sri Lanka mein kiski jeet pakki hai?
Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein New Zealand ka palda bhaari hai: 68% chance, Sri Lanka ka 32%. Match Tue, 16 Feb 2027, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Hamilton ki pitch kaisi rahegi?
Humari report ke hisaab se pitch balanced, dry hai, yaani bat aur ball mein barabar ki takkar hai. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
What totals does Wazir Win project for New Zealand vs Sri Lanka?
New Zealand 247-293 and Sri Lanka 217-265 in the day-one total, with the biggest scoring burst expected in session 2.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.