Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027 · match 2 of 8
New Zealand vs Sri Lanka 2nd ODI prediction
19:30
India time
Wed, 20 Jan 2027
Sky Stadium, Wellington
Fair odds for the pick 1.45
In 30 seconds
- New Zealand at 69%: a strong lean (fair odds 1.45).
- Pitch suits seamers; New Zealand projected to post the bigger total.
- New Zealand have home conditions on their side.
- Wazir Win pick
- New Zealand
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- green, seam-friendly
- Favours
- Seamers
Who wins the NZ vs SL 2nd ODI?
New Zealand take this one on our numbers: 69% to 31% over Sri Lanka, which is a strong lean. Expect 329 from New Zealand and 302 from Sri Lanka at Sky Stadium, where the quicks should hold the upper hand. Play starts Wed, 20 Jan 2027, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.
Surface read
Edge: New Zealand
Lateral movement through the opening spells, then a better pitch to bat on once the shine fades. Patience is the batting skill that pays. New Zealand are used to exactly this kind of pitch.
Run-scoring edge
Edge: New Zealand
There is a 27-run cushion in New Zealand's favour on our projection, the single biggest reason the model leans their way.
Series pressure
Edge: New Zealand
A win here gives New Zealand control with 6 matches left, and losing would hand Sri Lanka momentum.
How many will New Zealand and Sri Lanka score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a green, seam-friendly surface at Sky Stadium.
Powerplay (0-10)
Middle Overs (11-40)
Death Overs (41-50)
The Wazir Win bet slip for NZ vs SL
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 69%
Banker
risk
Match result
New Zealand to win
Our most likely outcome. If the bookmaker's price is shorter than 1.45, the value has gone.
- 56%
Smart value
risk
New Zealand first-innings total
Over 312.5
Our projection sits near 329, comfortably clear of 312.5, so a slow start can still land it.
- 24%
Wildcard
risk
Top team batter
Trent Boult (New Zealand)
Trusted at the end of the innings. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.
Who can swing New Zealand vs Sri Lanka?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
New Zealand
Trent Boult84
Trusted at the end of the innings
Kane Williamson80
Fast starter at the top
Sri Lanka
Angelo Mathews96
Balances the XI
Maheesh Theekshana84
Takes wickets through the middle
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before the first ball.
If Trent Boult is left out
We would trim New Zealand by around five points, turning this into a strong lean.
If Sri Lanka win the toss
On a pitch where the toss matters, that alone moves a couple of points Sri Lanka's way.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs mean more randomness, which helps the underdog.
The story of New Zealand vs Sri Lanka
With 6 games of Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027 still to follow, this match 2 can tilt the series. The model leans to New Zealand at 69%, mostly on squad quality and how Sky Stadium has played in recent seasons. New Zealand play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. For Sri Lanka to win, they need early wickets or one innings of real substance; anything less and the favourites should control it.
On the toss: Put the opposition in: the early help is too good to waste.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar check: 2nd ODI
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027.
Sky Stadium in Wellington hosts the 2nd ODI on Wed, 20 Jan 2027: fixture 2 of 8 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 1st ODI, was played 4 days before this one at McLean Park in Napier, which means a travel day to Wellington in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.
Up next: the 3rd ODI, 5 days after this match at University Oval in Dunedin.
Also at Sky Stadium on the Wazir Win calendar: 3rd T20I: New Zealand vs India (29 Oct), 2nd ODI: New Zealand vs India (12 Nov) (2 fixtures in all).
- 16 Jan1st ODI: New Zealand vs Sri LankaMcLean Park
- 20 Jan2nd ODI: New Zealand vs Sri LankaSky Stadium
- 25 Jan3rd ODI: New Zealand vs Sri LankaUniversity Oval
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FAQ · 9
NZ vs SL 2nd ODI: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win New Zealand vs Sri Lanka?
Wazir Win predicts New Zealand, with a 69% win chance against 31% for Sri Lanka. We class that as a strong lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a green, seam-friendly pitch at Sky Stadium should play.
What are fair odds for New Zealand in the NZ vs SL 2nd ODI?
Our 69% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.45 for New Zealand and 3.23 for Sri Lanka. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.
When does the NZ vs SL 2nd ODI start in IST?
It is scheduled for Wed, 20 Jan 2027, 19:30 IST at Sky Stadium, Wellington. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.
How will the pitch play at Sky Stadium?
We read it as green, seam-friendly, which should favour the quicks. Lateral movement through the opening spells, then a better pitch to bat on once the shine fades. Patience is the batting skill that pays.
What should the captain do at the toss in NZ vs SL?
Put the opposition in: the early help is too good to waste. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What would it take for Sri Lanka to win?
Sri Lanka need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 31%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if New Zealand change their best XI.
New Zealand vs Sri Lanka mein kiski jeet pakki hai?
Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein New Zealand ka palda bhaari hai: 69% chance, Sri Lanka ka 31%. Match Wed, 20 Jan 2027, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Wellington ki pitch kaisi rahegi?
Humari report ke hisaab se pitch green, seam-friendly hai, yaani tez gendbazon ko shuruaat mein madad milegi. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
How accurate are Wazir Win cricket predictions?
Every number is a probability. A 69% favourite should still lose about 31 times in 100, so use our call as one input and set a budget before you play.
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.