Bangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026 · match 4 of 8
South Africa vs Bangladesh 2nd ODI prediction
19:30
India time
Fri, 27 Nov 2026
St George's Park, Gqeberha
Fair odds for the pick 1.37
In 30 seconds
- South Africa at 73%: a strong lean (fair odds 1.37).
- Pitch suits bowlers; South Africa projected to post the bigger total.
- South Africa have home conditions on their side.
- Wazir Win pick
- South Africa
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- two-paced, bowler-friendly
- Favours
- Bowlers
Who wins the SA vs BAN 2nd ODI?
Strong lean: South Africa. Our model makes them 73% favourites for the 2nd ODI against Bangladesh at St George's Park, a fair price of 1.37. We project South Africa for 326 and Bangladesh for 297 on a pitch that favours the bowlers. Start: Fri, 27 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST.
What will decide it?
The surface comes first; the other two are the factors with the most pull on this fixture.
Surface read
Edge: Even
A grinding pitch. Wickets will come from mistimed drives and miscued pulls more than from unplayable deliveries. Both sides will lean on the bowlers, so the deeper attack matters.
Toss call
Edge: Toss winner
Chasing is the smarter play, before the surface gets slower still.
Run-scoring edge
Edge: South Africa
South Africa project about 29 runs higher in the first-innings total. Over a ODI, a gap like that turns tight games into comfortable ones.
How many will South Africa and Bangladesh score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings, on a two-paced, bowler-friendly surface at St George's Park.
Powerplay (0-10)
Middle Overs (11-40)
Death Overs (41-50)
The Wazir Win bet slip for SA vs BAN
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 73%
Banker
risk
Match result
South Africa to win
The model's headline call. Only worth it at odds of 1.37 or longer.
- 58%
Smart value
risk
South Africa first-innings total
Over 311.5
A 311.5 line leaves a buffer of roughly 14 runs against our 326 projection.
- 19%
Wildcard
risk
Top team batter
David Miller (South Africa)
Steady hand in a chase. A long-odds market, so treat it as a small-stake extra.
Who can swing South Africa vs Bangladesh?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to change the result. XIs are confirmed at the toss.
South Africa
David Miller79
Steady hand in a chase
Anrich Nortje83
Trusted at the end of the innings
Bangladesh
Shoriful Islam92
Trusted at the end of the innings
Najmul Hossain Shanto97
Fast starter at the top
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before the first ball.
If David Miller is left out
We would trim South Africa by around five points, turning this into a strong lean.
If Bangladesh win the toss
On a pitch where the toss matters, that alone moves a couple of points Bangladesh's way.
If rain shortens the match
Fewer overs mean more randomness, which helps the underdog.
The story of South Africa vs Bangladesh
Match 4 of 8 is where Bangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026 starts to take shape. Our read is that South Africa have the stronger unit for a two-paced, bowler-friendly ODI pitch, and the model reflects that at 73%. South Africa play at home, which our numbers credit with a few percentage points. Bangladesh's route to an upset runs through the first hour: get on top early and the 27% chance we give them starts to look generous.
On the toss: Chasing is the smarter play, before the surface gets slower still.
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Calendar check: 2nd ODI
Recovery time, travel and the next fixture in Bangladesh tour of South Africa, 2026.
St George's Park in Gqeberha hosts the 2nd ODI on Fri, 27 Nov 2026: fixture 4 of 8 in the series.
The previous fixture, the 1st ODI, was played 4 days before this one at Buffalo Park in East London, which means a travel day to Gqeberha in between. That is enough rest for both teams to pick their strongest XIs.
Up next: the 3rd ODI, 4 days after this match at Newlands in Cape Town.
Also at St George's Park on the Wazir Win calendar: 2nd Test: South Africa vs Australia (24 Oct) (1 fixture in all).
- 23 Nov1st ODI: South Africa vs BangladeshBuffalo Park
- 27 Nov2nd ODI: South Africa vs BangladeshSt George's Park
- 01 Dec3rd ODI: South Africa vs BangladeshNewlands
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FAQ · 9
SA vs BAN 2nd ODI: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win South Africa vs Bangladesh?
Wazir Win predicts South Africa, with a 73% win chance against 27% for Bangladesh. We class that as a strong lean. The call combines team ratings, home advantage and how a two-paced, bowler-friendly pitch at St George's Park should play.
What are fair odds for South Africa in the SA vs BAN 2nd ODI?
Our 73% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.37 for South Africa and 3.70 for Bangladesh. A bookmaker price shorter than that means the bet has no value on our numbers.
When does the SA vs BAN 2nd ODI start in IST?
It is scheduled for Fri, 27 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST at St George's Park, Gqeberha. Series dates sometimes shift, so check on the morning of the match.
How will the pitch play at St George's Park?
We read it as two-paced, bowler-friendly, which should favour the bowlers. A grinding pitch. Wickets will come from mistimed drives and miscued pulls more than from unplayable deliveries.
What should the captain do at the toss in SA vs BAN?
Chasing is the smarter play, before the surface gets slower still. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the 19:30 IST start, when both XIs are confirmed.
What would it take for Bangladesh to win?
Bangladesh need early wickets or a dominant individual innings. We give them 27%, and that rises if they win a toss that matters or if South Africa change their best XI.
South Africa vs Bangladesh mein kiski jeet pakki hai?
Pakki koi nahi, lekin Wazir Win ke model mein South Africa ka palda bhaari hai: 73% chance, Bangladesh ka 27%. Match Fri, 27 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST shuru hoga. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Gqeberha ki pitch kaisi rahegi?
Humari report ke hisaab se pitch two-paced, bowler-friendly hai, yaani gendbazon ka palda bhaari rahega aur score kam rahega. Toss match se qareeb aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
What totals does Wazir Win project for South Africa vs Bangladesh?
South Africa 304-348 and Bangladesh 273-321 in the first-innings total, with the biggest scoring burst expected in middle overs (11-40).
Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.