Premier League 2026/27
Sunderland vs Chelsea prediction
19:30
India time
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UK
Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Draw 21%
Fair odds for the pick 1.64
In 30 seconds
- Chelsea 61%, draw 21%, Sunderland 18%: a clear lean.
- Predicted score 0-1; goals expected (2.9 xG).
- Both teams to score: 53%.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Wazir Win pick
- Chelsea
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Sunderland vs Chelsea?
Back Chelsea. Wazir Win makes them 61% to beat Sunderland, projects 0.95 to 1.96 in expected goals and calls the score 0-1. Over 2.5 goals: 56%. Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST at Stadium of Light.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Sunderland's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Chelsea's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
2.9 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 56% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Chelsea
Chelsea rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 21%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Sunderland vs Chelsea?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56%
- Expected goals
- 0.95 – 1.96
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Sunderland vs Chelsea
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 77%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Chelsea
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Sunderland win beats it.
- 56%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
2.9 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 11%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Sunderland 0-1 Chelsea
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Sunderland
Expect Sunderland to stay compact at Stadium of Light and look for a moment rather than control the game.
Away
Chelsea
Chelsea are built to control games. They should hold most of the ball on their trip to Stadium of Light and pin Sunderland back for long periods.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Chelsea name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Sunderland score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Sunderland vs Chelsea
Sunderland take on Chelsea in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Chelsea's way. The gap in expected goals (0.95 for Sunderland, 1.96 for Chelsea) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 61% for Chelsea. Sunderland's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Sunderland and Chelsea
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Sunderland play 8 days after their game away at Coventry on 31 Oct. After this, they go away at Villa 13 days after this one. League game 10 of 38.
Chelsea play 8 days after their game at home to Man Utd on 31 Oct. After this, they go at home to Leeds 13 days after this one. League game 10 of 38.
They meet again at Stamford Bridge on Sat, 16 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.
- 31 OctChelsea vs Man UtdStamford Bridge
- 31 OctCoventry vs SunderlandCoventry Building Society Arena
- 08 NovSunderland vs ChelseaStadium of Light
- 21 NovVilla vs SunderlandVilla Park
- 21 NovChelsea vs LeedsStamford Bridge
More Sunderland and Chelsea dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Sunderland vs Chelsea: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Sunderland vs Chelsea?
Wazir Win predicts Chelsea. Our goals model gives Sunderland 18%, the draw 21% and Chelsea 61%, which we class as a clear lean.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Chelsea?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 0-1, at 11%.
What are fair odds for Sunderland vs Chelsea?
On our numbers: Sunderland 5.56, draw 4.76, Chelsea 1.64. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Sunderland vs Chelsea kick off in India?
19:30 IST India time on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 (14:00 UK), at Stadium of Light in Sunderland. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Sunderland vs Chelsea mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Chelsea aage hain: Sunderland 18%, draw 21%, Chelsea 61%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
How many goals are expected in Sunderland vs Chelsea?
2.9 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.
What would make Sunderland win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Chelsea's attack. We give Sunderland 18%.
Where can I watch Sunderland vs Chelsea?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.