Premier League · London derby

Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace prediction

By Wazir Win Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated
50%Our pick
Tottenham Hotspur
Coin flip

23:00

India time

Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

Draw 26%

Fair odds for the pick 2.00

24%Win chance
Crystal Palace

In 30 seconds

  1. Spurs 50%, draw 26%, Palace 24%: a coin flip.
  2. Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.5 xG).
  3. It is the London derby: expect more cards and fewer clear chances.
Predicted score
1-0
Wazir Win pick
Spurs
UK broadcast
Sky Sports
Projected cards
4.5-5.5

Who wins Spurs vs Palace?

Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Spurs. The Wazir Win goals model gives Spurs 50%, the draw 26% and Palace 24%, and expects 2.5 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0. Kick-off: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 23:00 IST at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

What will decide it?

Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.

  1. Home edge

    Edge: Spurs

    Spurs are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.

  2. Goal expectancy

    Edge: Even

    At 2.5 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (47% for the over).

  3. Derby heat

    Edge: Draw

    The London derby brings extra intensity, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies regularly finish closer than the table suggests.

How many goals in Spurs vs Palace?

Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.

012345+

total goals

Both teams score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Expected goals
1.55 – 0.99
Half-time call
0-0

The Wazir Win bet slip for Spurs vs Palace

Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.

  1. Banker

    risk

    68%

    Draw no bet

    Spurs

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Palace win beats it.

  2. Smart value

    risk

    75%

    Total goals

    Under 3.5

    A tight game is the likeliest script, and four goals would be an outlier.

  3. Wildcard

    risk

    12%

    Correct score

    Spurs 1-0 Palace

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.

How do the two teams set up?

Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Tottenham Hotspur

Spurs combine structure with enough quality in the final third to punish mistakes at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Midfield control is their foundation.

Away

Crystal Palace

Expect Palace to stay compact on their trip to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and look for a moment rather than control the game.

What would change our mind?

The developments we would react to before kick-off.

  • If Spurs name a weakened XI

    Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.

  • If Palace score first

    The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.

  • If a red card comes in the first hour

    Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.

The story of Spurs vs Palace

Tottenham Hotspur take on Crystal Palace in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Spurs's way. As the London derby, form tends to count for less than usual, and we have tightened the numbers accordingly. The gap in expected goals (1.55 for Spurs, 0.99 for Palace) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 50% for Spurs. Palace's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.

Calendar check: Spurs and Palace

Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.

Spurs play 7 days after their game away at Chelsea on 24 Oct. After this, they go away at Leeds 7 days after this one. League game 9 of 38.

Palace play 6 days after their game at home to Newcastle on 25 Oct. After this, they go at home to Liverpool 8 days after this one. League game 9 of 38.

They meet again at Selhurst Park on Sat, 23 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.

  1. 24 OctChelsea vs SpursStamford Bridge
  2. 25 OctPalace vs NewcastleSelhurst Park
  3. 31 OctSpurs vs PalaceTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  4. 07 NovLeeds vs SpursElland Road
  5. 08 NovPalace vs LiverpoolSelhurst Park
  1. 23 JanCrystal Palace vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  2. 07 NovLeeds United vs Tottenham HotspurPremier League · 18:00 ISTOpen dossier
  3. 21 NovTottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich TownPremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  4. 08 NovCrystal Palace vs LiverpoolPremier League · 19:30 ISTOpen dossier
  5. 21 NovCoventry City vs Crystal PalacePremier League · 20:30 ISTOpen dossier
  6. 31 OctChelsea vs Manchester UnitedPremier League · 18:00 ISTOpen dossier

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FAQ · 8

Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace: your questions answered

Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.

Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team

Who is predicted to win Spurs vs Palace?

Wazir Win predicts Tottenham Hotspur. Our goals model gives Spurs 50%, the draw 26% and Palace 24%, which we class as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?

Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-0, at 12%.

What are fair odds for Spurs vs Palace?

On our numbers: Spurs 2.00, draw 3.85, Palace 4.17. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.

What time does Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace kick off in India?

23:00 IST India time on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 (17:30 UK), at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.

Spurs vs Palace mein kaun jeetega?

Wazir Win ke goals model mein Tottenham Hotspur aage hain: Spurs 50%, draw 26%, Palace 24%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals are expected in Spurs vs Palace?

2.5 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 8% of the time.

What would make Palace win?

An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Spurs's attack. We give Palace 24%.

Will both teams score in Spurs vs Palace?

We put both teams to score at 50%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 47%.

Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.