Premier League 2026/27
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United prediction
19:30
India time
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Selhurst Park, London
Draw 26%
Fair odds for the pick 2.63
In 30 seconds
- Newcastle 38%, draw 26%, Palace 36%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 0-1; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 56%.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Wazir Win pick
- Newcastle
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Palace vs Newcastle?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Newcastle. The Wazir Win goals model gives Palace 36%, the draw 26% and Newcastle 38%, and expects 2.8 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1. Kick-off: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 19:30 IST at Selhurst Park.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Palace's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Newcastle's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (52% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Newcastle
Newcastle rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 26%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Palace vs Newcastle?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 56%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- Expected goals
- 1.36 – 1.41
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Palace vs Newcastle
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 64%
Banker
risk
Double chance
Newcastle or draw
Covers two of the three results; only a Palace win loses.
- 56%
Smart value
risk
Both teams to score
Yes
Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 56% of the time for us.
- 9%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Palace 0-1 Newcastle
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Crystal Palace
Expect Palace to stay compact at Selhurst Park and look for a moment rather than control the game.
Away
Newcastle United
Newcastle combine structure with enough quality in the final third to punish mistakes on their trip to Selhurst Park. Midfield control is their foundation.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Newcastle name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Palace score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Palace vs Newcastle
Crystal Palace take on Newcastle United in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Newcastle's way. The gap in expected goals (1.36 for Palace, 1.41 for Newcastle) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 38% for Newcastle. Palace's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Palace and Newcastle
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Palace play 7 days after their game away at Brighton on 18 Oct. After this, they go away at Spurs 6 days after this one. League game 8 of 38.
Newcastle play 8 days after their game at home to Villa on 17 Oct. After this, they go at home to Everton 8 days after this one. League game 8 of 38.
They meet again at St James' Park on Sun, 23 May 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.
More Palace and Newcastle dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Palace vs Newcastle?
Wazir Win predicts Newcastle United. Our goals model gives Palace 36%, the draw 26% and Newcastle 38%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Palace vs Newcastle?
On our numbers: Palace 2.78, draw 3.85, Newcastle 2.63. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United kick off in India?
19:30 IST India time on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 (14:00 UK), at Selhurst Park in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Palace vs Newcastle mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Newcastle United aage hain: Palace 36%, draw 26%, Newcastle 38%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
What would make Palace win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Newcastle's attack. We give Palace 36%.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
Where can I watch Palace vs Newcastle?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.