Premier League 2026/27
Newcastle United vs Everton prediction
01:30
India time
Mon, 02 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UK
St James' Park, Newcastle
Draw 18%
Fair odds for the pick 1.41
In 30 seconds
- Newcastle 71%, draw 18%, Everton 11%: a strong lean.
- Predicted score 2-0; goals expected (3.0 xG).
- Both teams to score: 48%.
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Newcastle
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Newcastle vs Everton?
Back Newcastle. Wazir Win makes them 71% to beat Everton, projects 2.24 to 0.76 in expected goals and calls the score 2-0. Over 2.5 goals: 58%. Kick-off: Mon, 02 Nov 2026, 01:30 IST, next day at St James' Park.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Newcastle
Newcastle are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
3.0 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 58% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Newcastle
Newcastle rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 18%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Newcastle vs Everton?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 48%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%
- Expected goals
- 2.24 – 0.76
- Half-time call
- 1-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Newcastle vs Everton
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 86%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Newcastle
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Everton win beats it.
- 58%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
3.0 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 12%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Newcastle 2-0 Everton
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Newcastle United
Newcastle combine structure with enough quality in the final third to punish mistakes at St James' Park. Midfield control is their foundation.
Away
Everton
Everton are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball on their trip to St James' Park, but short of the creativity to dominate.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Newcastle name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Everton score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Newcastle vs Everton
Newcastle United take on Everton in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Newcastle's way. The gap in expected goals (2.24 for Newcastle, 0.76 for Everton) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 71% for Newcastle. Everton's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Newcastle and Everton
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Newcastle play 8 days after their game away at Palace on 25 Oct. After this, they go away at Fulham 5 days after this one. League game 9 of 38.
Everton play 9 days after their game away at Arsenal on 24 Oct. After this, they go at home to Coventry 4 days after this one. League game 9 of 38.
They meet again at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Sat, 06 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.
More Newcastle and Everton dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Newcastle United vs Everton: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Newcastle vs Everton?
Wazir Win predicts Newcastle United. Our goals model gives Newcastle 71%, the draw 18% and Everton 11%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle United vs Everton?
Our likeliest scoreline is 2-0 (half-time 1-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Newcastle vs Everton?
On our numbers: Newcastle 1.41, draw 5.56, Everton 9.09. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Newcastle United vs Everton kick off in India?
01:30 IST, next day India time on Mon, 02 Nov 2026 (20:00 UK), at St James' Park in Newcastle. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Newcastle vs Everton mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Newcastle United aage hain: Newcastle 71%, draw 18%, Everton 11%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
How many goals are expected in Newcastle vs Everton?
3.0 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 3, and a goalless draw comes up 5% of the time.
Where can I watch Newcastle vs Everton?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
What would make Everton win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Newcastle's attack. We give Everton 11%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.