Premier League 2026/27
Arsenal vs Everton prediction
19:30
India time
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Emirates Stadium, London
Draw 14%
Fair odds for the pick 1.25
In 30 seconds
- Arsenal 80%, draw 14%, Everton 6%: a strong lean.
- Predicted score 2-0; goals expected (3.2 xG).
- Both teams to score: 42%.
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Arsenal
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Arsenal vs Everton?
Back Arsenal. Wazir Win makes them 80% to beat Everton, projects 2.61 to 0.60 in expected goals and calls the score 2-0. Over 2.5 goals: 62%. Kick-off: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 19:30 IST at Emirates Stadium.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Arsenal
Arsenal are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Goals
3.2 expected goals is above the league norm, and the over 2.5 line lands 62% of the time in our simulations.
Quality gap
Edge: Arsenal
Arsenal rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 14%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Arsenal vs Everton?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 42%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62%
- Expected goals
- 2.61 – 0.60
- Half-time call
- 1-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Arsenal vs Everton
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 93%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Arsenal
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Everton win beats it.
- 62%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
3.2 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 14%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Arsenal 2-0 Everton
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Arsenal
A side with title-level depth. Arsenal tend to suffocate opponents at Emirates Stadium, so Everton will need a disciplined, low block.
Away
Everton
Everton are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball on their trip to Emirates Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Arsenal name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Everton score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Arsenal vs Everton
Arsenal take on Everton in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Arsenal's way. The gap in expected goals (2.61 for Arsenal, 0.60 for Everton) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 80% for Arsenal. Everton's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Arsenal and Everton
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Arsenal play 6 days after their game away at Forest on 18 Oct. After this, they go away at Liverpool 8 days after this one. League game 8 of 38.
Everton play 7 days after their game at home to Chelsea on 17 Oct. After this, they go away at Newcastle 9 days after this one. League game 8 of 38.
They meet again at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Sun, 23 May 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.
- 17 OctEverton vs ChelseaHill Dickinson Stadium
- 18 OctForest vs ArsenalCity Ground
- 24 OctArsenal vs EvertonEmirates Stadium
- 01 NovLiverpool vs ArsenalAnfield
- 02 NovNewcastle vs EvertonSt James' Park
More Arsenal and Everton dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Arsenal vs Everton: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Arsenal vs Everton?
Wazir Win predicts Arsenal. Our goals model gives Arsenal 80%, the draw 14% and Everton 6%, which we class as a strong lean.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Everton?
Our likeliest scoreline is 2-0 (half-time 1-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 14%.
What are fair odds for Arsenal vs Everton?
On our numbers: Arsenal 1.25, draw 7.14, Everton 16.67. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Arsenal vs Everton kick off in India?
19:30 IST India time on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 (15:00 UK), at Emirates Stadium in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Arsenal vs Everton mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Arsenal aage hain: Arsenal 80%, draw 14%, Everton 6%. Sabse sambhav score 2-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
How many goals are expected in Arsenal vs Everton?
3.2 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 3, and a goalless draw comes up 4% of the time.
What would make Everton win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Arsenal's attack. We give Everton 6%.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Everton?
We put both teams to score at 42%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals is 62%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.