Premier League 2026/27
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal prediction
21:00
India time
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UK
City Ground, Nottingham
Draw 24%
Fair odds for the pick 1.89
In 30 seconds
- Arsenal 53%, draw 24%, Forest 23%: a slight lean.
- Predicted score 0-1; the goals line is finely balanced (2.9 xG).
- Both teams to score: 55%.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Wazir Win pick
- Arsenal
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Forest vs Arsenal?
Slight lean: Arsenal. The Wazir Win goals model rates them 53% to win (fair odds 1.89), with the draw at 24%. We expect 2.9 goals and a 0-1 scoreline. Kick-off: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 21:00 IST at City Ground.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Forest's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Arsenal's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.9 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (54% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Arsenal
Arsenal rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 24%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Forest vs Arsenal?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%
- Expected goals
- 1.09 – 1.76
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Forest vs Arsenal
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 69%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Arsenal
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Forest win beats it.
- 55%
Smart value
risk
Both teams to score
Yes
Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 55% of the time for us.
- 10%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Forest 0-1 Arsenal
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Nottingham Forest
Expect Forest to stay compact at City Ground and look for a moment rather than control the game.
Away
Arsenal
A side with title-level depth. Arsenal tend to suffocate opponents on their trip to City Ground, so Forest will need a disciplined, low block.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Arsenal name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Forest score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Forest vs Arsenal
Nottingham Forest take on Arsenal in front of their own fans, and the Wazir Win numbers lean Arsenal's way. The gap in expected goals (1.09 for Forest, 1.76 for Arsenal) is the clearest signal, and it is what produces our 53% for Arsenal. Forest's best route is to keep it level into the last half-hour, when the draw becomes a live result.
Calendar check: Forest and Arsenal
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Forest play 7 days after their game away at Palace on 11 Oct. After this, they go away at Ipswich 5 days after this one. League game 7 of 38.
Arsenal play 8 days after their game at home to Leeds on 10 Oct. After this, they go at home to Everton 6 days after this one. League game 7 of 38.
They meet again at Emirates Stadium on Sat, 15 May 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.
More Forest and Arsenal dossiers
Ready when you are
Follow this match with your Wazir Win ID
18+ only. Set a budget first and play responsibly.
FAQ · 8
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Forest vs Arsenal?
Wazir Win predicts Arsenal. Our goals model gives Forest 23%, the draw 24% and Arsenal 53%, which we class as a slight lean.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 11%.
What are fair odds for Forest vs Arsenal?
On our numbers: Forest 4.35, draw 4.17, Arsenal 1.89. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal kick off in India?
21:00 IST India time on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 (16:30 UK), at City Ground in Nottingham. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Forest vs Arsenal mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Arsenal aage hain: Forest 23%, draw 24%, Arsenal 53%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Where can I watch Forest vs Arsenal?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
How many goals are expected in Forest vs Arsenal?
2.9 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.
What would make Forest win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Arsenal's attack. We give Forest 23%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.