Premier League 2026/27
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest prediction
18:30
India time
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Selhurst Park, London
Draw 24%
Fair odds for the pick 1.85
In 30 seconds
- Palace 54%, draw 24%, Forest 22%: a slight lean.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 54%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Palace
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Palace vs Forest?
Slight lean: Crystal Palace. The Wazir Win goals model rates them 54% to win (fair odds 1.85), with the draw at 24%. We expect 2.8 goals and a 1-0 scoreline. Kick-off: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 18:30 IST at Selhurst Park.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Palace
Palace are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (53% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Palace
Palace rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 24%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Palace vs Forest?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53%
- Expected goals
- 1.75 – 1.04
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Palace vs Forest
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 71%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Palace
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Forest win beats it.
- 53%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Over 2.5
2.8 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.
- 11%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Palace 1-0 Forest
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Crystal Palace
Palace are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Selhurst Park, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away
Nottingham Forest
Forest are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball on their trip to Selhurst Park, but short of the creativity to dominate.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Palace name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Forest score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Palace vs Forest
Nottingham Forest head to Selhurst Park for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a slight lean. We project 1.75 expected goals for Palace and 1.04 for Forest; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Palace win 54% of them. For Forest, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Palace and Forest
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Palace play 21 days after their game away at Leeds on 20 Sept, with an international break in between, so rhythm could be rusty. After this, they go away at Brighton 7 days after this one. League game 6 of 38.
Forest play 22 days after their game at home to Coventry on 19 Sept, with an international break in between, so rhythm could be rusty. After this, they go at home to Arsenal 7 days after this one. League game 6 of 38.
They meet again at City Ground on Sat, 08 May 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.
- 19 SeptForest vs CoventryCity Ground
- 20 SeptLeeds vs PalaceElland Road
- 11 OctPalace vs ForestSelhurst Park
- 18 OctBrighton vs PalaceAmerican Express Stadium
- 18 OctForest vs ArsenalCity Ground
More Palace and Forest dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Palace vs Forest?
Wazir Win predicts Crystal Palace. Our goals model gives Palace 54%, the draw 24% and Forest 22%, which we class as a slight lean.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 11%.
What are fair odds for Palace vs Forest?
On our numbers: Palace 1.85, draw 4.17, Forest 4.55. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest kick off in India?
18:30 IST India time on Sun, 11 Oct 2026 (14:00 UK), at Selhurst Park in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Palace vs Forest mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Crystal Palace aage hain: Palace 54%, draw 24%, Forest 22%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
How many goals are expected in Palace vs Forest?
2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.
Where can I watch Palace vs Forest?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Will both teams score in Palace vs Forest?
We put both teams to score at 54%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals is 53%.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.