Premier League 2026/27
Hull City vs Everton prediction
18:30
India time
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
MKM Stadium, Hull
Draw 25%
Fair odds for the pick 2.38
In 30 seconds
- Everton 42%, draw 25%, Hull 33%: a coin flip.
- Predicted score 0-1; the goals line is finely balanced (2.7 xG).
- Both teams to score: 56%.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Wazir Win pick
- Everton
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Hull vs Everton?
Too close to call, with a whisker in favour of Everton. The Wazir Win goals model gives Hull 33%, the draw 25% and Everton 42%, and expects 2.7 goals in all. Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1. Kick-off: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 18:30 IST at MKM Stadium.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Hull's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Everton's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (52% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Everton
Everton rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 25%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Hull vs Everton?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 56%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- Expected goals
- 1.27 – 1.47
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Hull vs Everton
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 67%
Banker
risk
Double chance
Everton or draw
Covers two of the three results; only a Hull win loses.
- 56%
Smart value
risk
Both teams to score
Yes
Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 56% of the time for us.
- 9%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Hull 0-1 Everton
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home · promoted
Hull City
Hull are in their first season back and still learning the pace of the division. Expect a compact shape at MKM Stadium, long spells without the ball and danger from set pieces.
Away
Everton
Expect Everton to stay compact on their trip to MKM Stadium and look for a moment rather than control the game.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Everton name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Hull score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Hull vs Everton
Everton head to MKM Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a coin flip. We project 1.27 expected goals for Hull and 1.47 for Everton; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Everton win 42% of them. For Hull, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Hull and Everton
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Hull play 22 days after their game away at Newcastle on 19 Sept, with an international break in between, so rhythm could be rusty. After this, they go away at Fulham 6 days after this one. League game 6 of 38.
Everton play 22 days after their game at home to Ipswich on 19 Sept, with an international break in between, so rhythm could be rusty. After this, they go at home to Chelsea 6 days after this one. League game 6 of 38.
They meet again at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Sat, 08 May 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.
- 19 SeptNewcastle vs HullSt James' Park
- 19 SeptEverton vs IpswichHill Dickinson Stadium
- 11 OctHull vs EvertonMKM Stadium
- 17 OctEverton vs ChelseaHill Dickinson Stadium
- 17 OctFulham vs HullCraven Cottage
More Hull and Everton dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Hull City vs Everton: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Hull vs Everton?
Wazir Win predicts Everton. Our goals model gives Hull 33%, the draw 25% and Everton 42%, which we class as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Everton?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.
What are fair odds for Hull vs Everton?
On our numbers: Hull 3.03, draw 4.00, Everton 2.38. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Hull City vs Everton kick off in India?
18:30 IST India time on Sun, 11 Oct 2026 (14:00 UK), at MKM Stadium in Hull. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Hull vs Everton mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Everton aage hain: Hull 33%, draw 25%, Everton 42%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
What would make Hull win?
An early goal, a disciplined defensive shape and a quiet day for Everton's attack. We give Hull 33%.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
How many goals are expected in Hull vs Everton?
2.7 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.