Premier League 2026/27
Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction
22:00
India time
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UK
Anfield, Liverpool
Draw 24%
Fair odds for the pick 1.89
In 30 seconds
- Liverpool 53%, draw 24%, Arsenal 23%: a slight lean.
- Predicted score 1-0; the goals line is finely balanced (2.8 xG).
- Both teams to score: 55%.
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Wazir Win pick
- Liverpool
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
- Projected cards
- 3.5-4.5
Who wins Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Liverpool are our pick for Liverpool vs Arsenal, at 53% (slight lean). The model's likeliest result is 1-0, both teams score in 55% of simulations, and the draw sits at 24%. Kick-off is Sun, 01 Nov 2026, 22:00 IST.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Liverpool
Liverpool are the better side and at home, which our model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two advantages stack.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (54% for the over).
Quality gap
Edge: Liverpool
Liverpool rate clearly higher, and the draw is only 24%. If they score first, the game state favours them heavily.
How many goals in Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%
- Expected goals
- 1.75 – 1.08
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Liverpool vs Arsenal
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 70%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Liverpool
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Arsenal win beats it.
- 55%
Smart value
risk
Both teams to score
Yes
Both sides project above a goal of expected output; BTTS lands 55% of the time for us.
- 10%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Liverpool 1-0 Arsenal
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Liverpool
Liverpool are built to control games. They should hold most of the ball at Anfield and pin Arsenal back for long periods.
Away
Arsenal
Arsenal are built to control games. They should hold most of the ball on their trip to Anfield and pin Liverpool back for long periods.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Liverpool name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Arsenal score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Liverpool vs Arsenal
Arsenal head to Anfield for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a slight lean. We project 1.75 expected goals for Liverpool and 1.08 for Arsenal; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Liverpool win 53% of them. For Arsenal, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Liverpool and Arsenal
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Liverpool play 7 days after their game at home to Brighton on 25 Oct. After this, they go away at Palace 7 days after this one. League game 9 of 38.
Arsenal play 8 days after their game at home to Everton on 24 Oct. After this, they go at home to Hull 6 days after this one. League game 9 of 38.
They meet again at Emirates Stadium on Sat, 06 Feb 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings. UK broadcaster: Sky Sports.
More Liverpool and Arsenal dossiers
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FAQ · 8
Liverpool vs Arsenal: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Wazir Win predicts Liverpool. Our goals model gives Liverpool 53%, the draw 24% and Arsenal 23%, which we class as a slight lean.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Our likeliest scoreline is 1-0 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 11%.
What are fair odds for Liverpool vs Arsenal?
On our numbers: Liverpool 1.89, draw 4.17, Arsenal 4.35. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Liverpool vs Arsenal kick off in India?
22:00 IST India time on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 (16:30 UK), at Anfield in Liverpool. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Liverpool vs Arsenal mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Liverpool 53%, draw 24%, Arsenal 23%. Sabse sambhav score 1-0 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Arsenal?
2.8 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 6% of the time.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
Online betting rules in India are set at both the central and state level, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money games. Check the law that applies where you live before you play. This is general information, not legal advice, and you must be 18 or older.
Where can I watch Liverpool vs Arsenal?
In the UK it is on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.