Premier League · London derby
Brentford vs Arsenal prediction
01:30
India time
Wed, 02 Dec 2026 · 20:00 UK
Gtech Community Stadium, London
Draw 24%
Fair odds for the pick 1.79
In 30 seconds
- Arsenal 56%, draw 24%, Brentford 20%: a clear lean.
- Predicted score 0-1; the goals line is finely balanced (2.5 xG).
- It is the London derby: expect more cards and fewer clear chances.
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Wazir Win pick
- Arsenal
- UK broadcast
- Not televised yet
- Projected cards
- 4.5-5.5
Who wins Brentford vs Arsenal?
Back Arsenal. Wazir Win makes them 56% to beat Brentford, projects 0.89 to 1.66 in expected goals and calls the score 0-1. Over 2.5 goals: 47%. Kick-off: Wed, 02 Dec 2026, 01:30 IST, next day at Gtech Community Stadium.
What will decide it?
Home advantage first, then the goals picture and the factor with the most pull on this fixture.
Home edge
Edge: Even
Brentford's home crowd is worth about a fifth of a goal, which narrows the gap without erasing Arsenal's quality advantage.
Goal expectancy
Edge: Even
At 2.5 expected goals, the 2.5 line is close to a toss-up (47% for the over).
Derby heat
Edge: Draw
The London derby brings extra intensity, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies regularly finish closer than the table suggests.
How many goals in Brentford vs Arsenal?
Our model's chance of each total, with the likeliest outcome highlighted.
total goals
- Both teams score
- 48%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%
- Expected goals
- 0.89 – 1.66
- Half-time call
- 0-0
The Wazir Win bet slip for Brentford vs Arsenal
Three selections at rising risk. Each ring is our probability for that selection.
- 74%
Banker
risk
Draw no bet
Arsenal
Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Brentford win beats it.
- 75%
Smart value
risk
Total goals
Under 3.5
A tight game is the likeliest script, and four goals would be an outlier.
- 13%
Wildcard
risk
Correct score
Brentford 0-1 Arsenal
The model's likeliest scoreline. Exact-score markets pay well and land rarely, so stake lightly.
How do the two teams set up?
Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Brentford
Brentford are a pragmatic mid-table team: solid without the ball at Gtech Community Stadium, but short of the creativity to dominate.
Away
Arsenal
Arsenal are built to control games. They should hold most of the ball on their trip to Gtech Community Stadium and pin Brentford back for long periods.
What would change our mind?
The developments we would react to before kick-off.
If Arsenal name a weakened XI
Rotation or a key absence would take several points off their win chance; check line-ups an hour before kick-off.
If Brentford score first
The favourite has to chase, and both the draw and the upset become much more likely.
If a red card comes in the first hour
Ten men changes the expected-goals picture entirely, whichever side it hits.
The story of Brentford vs Arsenal
Arsenal head to Gtech Community Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that our model sees as a clear lean. As the London derby, form tends to count for less than usual, and we have tightened the numbers accordingly. We project 0.89 expected goals for Brentford and 1.66 for Arsenal; run that through thousands of simulated matches and Arsenal win 56% of them. For Brentford, an early goal changes everything: chasing teams leave space, and that is where upsets come from.
Calendar check: Brentford and Arsenal
Recovery time and the next fixture for both clubs, from the published Premier League schedule.
Brentford play 4 days after their game away at Man Utd on 28 Nov. After this, they go at home to Man City 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 13 of 38.
Arsenal play 3 days after their game at home to Man City on 29 Nov, so tired legs could show late on. After this, they go away at Spurs 3 days after this one, so some rotation is possible. League game 13 of 38.
They meet again at Emirates Stadium on Tue, 05 Jan 2027, so this is the first of two league meetings.
- 28 NovMan Utd vs BrentfordOld Trafford
- 29 NovArsenal vs Man CityEmirates Stadium
- 02 DecBrentford vs ArsenalGtech Community Stadium
- 05 DecBrentford vs Man CityGtech Community Stadium
- 05 DecSpurs vs ArsenalTottenham Hotspur Stadium
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FAQ · 8
Brentford vs Arsenal: your questions answered
Straight answers to the questions fans ask us most.
Still unsure? Ask the Wazir Win team
Who is predicted to win Brentford vs Arsenal?
Wazir Win predicts Arsenal. Our goals model gives Brentford 20%, the draw 24% and Arsenal 56%, which we class as a clear lean.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Arsenal?
Our likeliest scoreline is 0-1 (half-time 0-0). The single most common exact score across our simulations is 0-1, at 13%.
What are fair odds for Brentford vs Arsenal?
On our numbers: Brentford 5.00, draw 4.17, Arsenal 1.79. Anything shorter from a bookmaker carries no value by our model.
What time does Brentford vs Arsenal kick off in India?
01:30 IST, next day India time on Wed, 02 Dec 2026 (20:00 UK), at Gtech Community Stadium in London. Televised games can move, so confirm nearer the day.
Brentford vs Arsenal mein kaun jeetega?
Wazir Win ke goals model mein Arsenal aage hain: Brentford 20%, draw 24%, Arsenal 56%. Sabse sambhav score 0-1 hai. Yeh anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Where can I watch Brentford vs Arsenal?
Indian broadcast rights change between seasons, so check the official Premier League listings close to the day.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Arsenal?
We put both teams to score at 48%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals is 47%.
How many goals are expected in Brentford vs Arsenal?
2.5 expected goals in total. The most likely total is 2, and a goalless draw comes up 8% of the time.
Dates and kick-off times follow the published Premier League fixture list and can move for TV or cup commitments. Win percentages, projected scores and picks on this page come from Wazir Win's own model, built on team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and only a bookmaker's live odds settle a bet. 18+ only. Set a budget before you play and play responsibly.